Serie A · Apr 06, 2026 16:00
Juventus
PWR 45
Genoa
PWR 32
Juventus
PWR 45
4-1
predicted
Genoa
PWR 32
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Juventus Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)1-0 (15%)3-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)0-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5
50%
Team Comparison
51Attack35
77Defense56
Goals/G
1.71.2
Conc/G
0.81.5
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Juventus
DWWDW
STABLE
Genoa
DWWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 36% at home = very high riskH2H: 2/5 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 71% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (33.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Juventusvs
0.54
GenoaGoal Probability
Juventus
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Genoa
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)2-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)3-1 (6%)1-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 4.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Juventus+8
Gap#13
Genoa
WR 57% 53 pts
WR 21% 33 pts
Juventus
16.0%
| Mar 21 | Juventus v Sassuolo | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Juventus v Udinese | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Juventus v Pisa | 4-0 |
| Mar 01 | Juventus v Roma | 3-3 |
| Feb 25 | Juventus v Galatas… | 3-2 |
| Feb 21 | Juventus v Como | 0-2 |
| Feb 17 | Juventus v Galatas… | 5-2 |
| Feb 14 | Juventus v Inter M… | 3-2 |
| Feb 08 | Juventus v Lazio | 2-2 |
| Feb 05 | Juventus v Atalanta | 3-0 |
Genoa
14.0%
| Mar 20 | Genoa v Udinese | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Genoa v Verona | 0-2 |
| Mar 08 | Genoa v Roma | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Genoa v Inter M… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Genoa v Torino | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Genoa v Cremone… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Genoa v Napoli | 2-3 |
| Jan 30 | Genoa v Lazio | 3-2 |
| Jan 25 | Genoa v Bologna | 3-2 |
| Jan 18 | Genoa v Parma | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Aug 31, 2025 | Genoa | 0-1 | Juventus |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Juventus | 1-0 | Genoa |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Genoa | 0-3 | Juventus |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Juventus | 0-0 | Genoa |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Genoa | 1-1 | Juventus |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
76%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Juventus in strong form (3W in last 5)
Genoa in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.