Serie A · Apr 04, 2026 18:45
Lazio
PWR 36
Parma
PWR 28
Lazio
PWR 36
2-1
predicted
Parma
PWR 28
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Lazio Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)3-0 (13%)1-0 (13%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (6%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5
24%
Team Comparison
31Attack20
73Defense61
Goals/G
1.00.7
Conc/G
0.91.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Lazio
WWWDL
UP
Parma
LLDDW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 60% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
Laziovs
0.50
ParmaGoal Probability
Lazio
0
8%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Parma
0
61%
1
30%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)2-0 (15%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Lazio+3
Gap#12
Parma
WR 47% 40 pts
WR 33% 34 pts
Lazio
14.0%
| Mar 22 | Lazio v Bologna | 0-2 |
| Mar 15 | Lazio v AC Milan | 1-0 |
| Mar 09 | Lazio v Sassuolo | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Lazio v Atalanta | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Lazio v Torino | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Lazio v Cagliari | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Lazio v Atalanta | 0-2 |
| Feb 11 | Lazio v Bologna | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Lazio v Juventus | 2-2 |
| Jan 30 | Lazio v Genoa | 3-2 |
Parma
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Parma v Cremone… | 0-2 |
| Mar 13 | Parma v Torino | 4-1 |
| Mar 08 | Parma v Fiorent… | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Parma v Cagliari | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Parma v AC Milan | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Parma v Verona | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Parma v Bologna | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Parma v Juventus | 1-4 |
| Jan 25 | Parma v Atalanta | 4-0 |
| Jan 18 | Parma v Genoa | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Dec 13, 2025 | Parma | 0-1 | Lazio |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Lazio | 2-2 | Parma |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Parma | 3-1 | Lazio |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Parma | 3-1 | Lazio |
| May 12, 2021 | Lazio | 1-0 | Parma |
| Jan 21, 2021 | Lazio | 2-1 | Parma |
| Jan 10, 2021 | Parma | 0-2 | Lazio |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
59%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Lazio in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.