Serie A · Apr 04, 2026 13:00
Sassuolo
PWR 34
Cagliari
PWR 34
Sassuolo
PWR 34
2-1
predicted
Cagliari
PWR 34
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sassuolo Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
Yes 54%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
35Attack37
62Defense60
Goals/G
1.21.2
Conc/G
1.31.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Sassuolo
DLLWW
STABLE
Cagliari
LLLDD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Similar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (26.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Sassuolovs
0.94
CagliariGoal Probability
Sassuolo
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Cagliari
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)2-0 (10%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Sassuolo+5
Gap#15
Cagliari
WR 40% 38 pts
WR 20% 30 pts
Sassuolo
10.0%
| Mar 21 | Sassuolo v Juventus | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Sassuolo v Bologna | 0-1 |
| Mar 09 | Sassuolo v Lazio | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Sassuolo v Atalanta | 2-1 |
| Feb 20 | Sassuolo v Verona | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Sassuolo v Udinese | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Sassuolo v Inter M… | 0-5 |
| Jan 31 | Sassuolo v Pisa | 1-3 |
| Jan 25 | Sassuolo v Cremone… | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Sassuolo v Napoli | 1-0 |
Cagliari
4.0%
| Mar 20 | Cagliari v Napoli | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Cagliari v Pisa | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Cagliari v Como | 1-2 |
| Feb 27 | Cagliari v Parma | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Cagliari v Lazio | 0-0 |
| Feb 16 | Cagliari v Lecce | 0-2 |
| Feb 09 | Cagliari v Roma | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Cagliari v Verona | 4-0 |
| Jan 24 | Cagliari v Fiorent… | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Cagliari v Juventus | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 30, 2025 | Cagliari | 1-2 | Sassuolo |
| May 19, 2024 | Sassuolo | 0-2 | Cagliari |
| May 19, 2024 | Sassuolo | 0-2 | Cagliari |
| Dec 11, 2023 | Cagliari | 2-1 | Sassuolo |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
64%
Market
50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Cagliari struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.