Serie A · Apr 04, 2026 16:00
Verona
PWR 25
Fiorentina
PWR 44
Verona
PWR 25
1-1
predicted
Fiorentina
PWR 44
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Verona Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (20%)0-0 (15%)0-2 (14%)1-1 (11%)1-0 (8%)1-2 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
23Attack53
47Defense74
Goals/G
0.81.8
Conc/G
1.80.9
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Verona
LLWLL
DOWN
Fiorentina
LDDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskCombined DR 64% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.52
Veronavs
1.41
FiorentinaGoal Probability
Verona
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Fiorentina
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (19%)0-0 (13%)0-2 (13%)1-1 (12%)1-0 (8%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#20
Verona-3
Gap#17
Fiorentina
WR 7% 18 pts
WR 14% 25 pts
Verona
4.0%
| Mar 22 | Verona v Atalanta | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Verona v Genoa | 0-2 |
| Mar 08 | Verona v Bologna | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Verona v Napoli | 1-2 |
| Feb 20 | Verona v Sassuolo | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Verona v Parma | 2-1 |
| Feb 06 | Verona v Pisa | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Verona v Cagliari | 4-0 |
| Jan 26 | Verona v Udinese | 1-3 |
| Jan 19 | Verona v Cremone… | 0-0 |
Fiorentina
10.0%
| Mar 22 | Fiorent… v Inter M… | 0-1 |
| Mar 19 | Fiorent… v Raków C… | 1-1 |
| Mar 16 | Fiorent… v Cremone… | 0-0 |
| Mar 12 | Fiorent… v Raków C… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Fiorent… v Parma | 0-0 |
| Mar 02 | Fiorent… v Udinese | 3-0 |
| Feb 26 | Fiorent… v Jagiell… | 2-4 |
| Feb 23 | Fiorent… v Pisa | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Fiorent… v Jagiell… | 0-3 |
| Feb 14 | Fiorent… v Como | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 14, 2025 | Fiorentina | 1-2 | Verona |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Verona | 1-0 | Fiorentina |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Fiorentina | 3-1 | Verona |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Fiorentina | 3-1 | Verona |
| May 05, 2024 | Verona | 2-1 | Fiorentina |
| May 05, 2024 | Verona | 2-1 | Fiorentina |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Fiorentina | 1-0 | Verona |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Fiorentina | 1-0 | Verona |
| Feb 27, 2023 | Verona | 0-3 | Fiorentina |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Fiorentina | 2-0 | Verona |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
37%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Verona struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.