First Division · Apr 03, 2026 18:45

Athlone Town
PWR 35
3-1
predicted

UCD
PWR 35
39% 26% 35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Athlone Town Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)2-0 (7%)1-1 (5%)3-2 (4%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5 70%
70%
Under 2.5
30%
BTTS Yes
Yes 64%
Over 3.5
50%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Athlone Town LLWLD
DOWN
UCD WLLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.19
Athlone Town
vs
1.10
UCD
Goal Probability
Athlone Town
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
UCD
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-3 (6%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 97% 3% OVER
1.5 88% 12% OVER
2.5 71% 29% OVER
3.5 50% 50% -
4.5 31% 70% UNDER
5.5 16% 84% UNDER
6.5 8% 92% UNDER
League Position
#4
Athlone Town
-1
Gap
#3
UCD
WR 67% 10 pts WR 0% 10 pts
Athlone Town 6.0%
Mar 27 Athlone… v Cork Ci… 4-1
Mar 20 Athlone… v Treaty … 2-0
Mar 13 Athlone… v Cobh Ra… 2-0
Mar 06 Athlone… v Bray Wa… 2-1
Feb 27 Athlone… v Wexford 2-2
Feb 20 Athlone… v Kerry FC 0-1
Feb 13 Athlone… v Finn Ha… 2-1
Jan 16 Athlone… v Bohemia… 4-1
Oct 17 Athlone… v Longfor… 1-2
Oct 10 Athlone… v UCD 2-2
UCD 10.0%
Mar 27 UCD v Cobh Ra… 4-0
Mar 20 UCD v Cork Ci… 0-1
Mar 13 UCD v Bray Wa… 2-1
Mar 07 UCD v Longfor… 0-0
Feb 27 UCD v Treaty … 2-0
Feb 20 UCD v Finn Ha… 2-1
Feb 13 UCD v Kerry FC 2-1
Oct 28 UCD v Bray Wa… 3-2
Oct 24 UCD v Bray Wa… 0-1
Oct 17 UCD v Finn Ha… 3-4
Head-to-Head (5)
Oct 10, 2025 UCD 2-2 Athlone Town
Aug 04, 2025 Athlone Town 1-2 UCD
May 30, 2025 UCD 2-0 Athlone Town
Mar 14, 2025 Athlone Town 2-1 UCD
Sep 23, 2024 Athlone Town 1-0 UCD
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Athlone Town struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.