First Division · Apr 03, 2026 18:45

Treaty United
PWR 35
2-1
predicted

Longford Town
PWR 35
45% 25% 30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Treaty United Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (16%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (11%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
25%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Treaty United LWDDL
STABLE
Longford Town LWLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 67% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 100% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (33.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Treaty United
vs
0.66
Longford Town
Goal Probability
Treaty Unit…
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Longford To…
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)0-1 (11%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (9%)0-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 92% 8% OVER
1.5 72% 28% OVER
2.5 47% 53% -
3.5 25% 75% UNDER
4.5 12% 88% UNDER
5.5 5% 96% UNDER
6.5 2% 98% UNDER
League Position
#10
Treaty Unit…
-3
Gap
#7
Longford To…
WR 33% 5 pts WR 0% 6 pts
Treaty United 8.0%
Mar 27 Treaty … v Wexford 3-2
Mar 20 Treaty … v Athlone… 2-0
Mar 13 Treaty … v Finn Ha… 2-2
Mar 06 Treaty … v Kerry FC 2-2
Feb 27 Treaty … v UCD 2-0
Feb 20 Treaty … v Bray Wa… 0-1
Feb 13 Treaty … v Cork Ci… 1-0
Jan 13 Treaty … v Kerry FC 2-4
Jan 09 Treaty … v Galway … 2-0
Nov 02 Treaty … v Bray Wa… 1-0
Longford Town 8.0%
Mar 28 Longfor… v Finn Ha… 0-1
Mar 21 Longfor… v Wexford 2-0
Mar 13 Longfor… v Cork Ci… 2-1
Mar 07 Longfor… v UCD 0-0
Feb 27 Longfor… v Kerry FC 1-1
Feb 21 Longfor… v Cobh Ra… 1-2
Feb 13 Longfor… v Bray Wa… 1-1
Jan 16 Longfor… v Bohemia… 2-1
Oct 17 Longfor… v Athlone… 1-2
Oct 10 Longfor… v Cobh Ra… 3-1
Head-to-Head (5)
Oct 05, 2025 Treaty United 1-2 Longford Town
Aug 09, 2025 Longford Town 2-0 Treaty United
May 23, 2025 Treaty United 5-1 Longford Town
Mar 29, 2025 Longford Town 2-0 Treaty United
Sep 27, 2024 Treaty United 3-1 Longford Town
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.