First Division · Apr 03, 2026 18:45

Treaty United
PWR 35

Longford Town
PWR 35

Treaty United
PWR 35
2-1
predicted

Longford Town
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Treaty United Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (16%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (11%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
25%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Treaty United
LWDDL
STABLE
Longford Town
LWLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 67% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 100% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (33.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Treaty Unitedvs
0.66
Longford TownGoal Probability
Treaty Unit…
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Longford To…
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)0-1 (11%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (9%)0-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Treaty Unit…-3
Gap#7
Longford To…
WR 33% 5 pts
WR 0% 6 pts
Treaty United
8.0%
| Mar 27 | Treaty … v Wexford | 3-2 |
| Mar 20 | Treaty … v Athlone… | 2-0 |
| Mar 13 | Treaty … v Finn Ha… | 2-2 |
| Mar 06 | Treaty … v Kerry FC | 2-2 |
| Feb 27 | Treaty … v UCD | 2-0 |
| Feb 20 | Treaty … v Bray Wa… | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | Treaty … v Cork Ci… | 1-0 |
| Jan 13 | Treaty … v Kerry FC | 2-4 |
| Jan 09 | Treaty … v Galway … | 2-0 |
| Nov 02 | Treaty … v Bray Wa… | 1-0 |
Longford Town
8.0%
| Mar 28 | Longfor… v Finn Ha… | 0-1 |
| Mar 21 | Longfor… v Wexford | 2-0 |
| Mar 13 | Longfor… v Cork Ci… | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Longfor… v UCD | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Longfor… v Kerry FC | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Longfor… v Cobh Ra… | 1-2 |
| Feb 13 | Longfor… v Bray Wa… | 1-1 |
| Jan 16 | Longfor… v Bohemia… | 2-1 |
| Oct 17 | Longfor… v Athlone… | 1-2 |
| Oct 10 | Longfor… v Cobh Ra… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Oct 05, 2025 | Treaty United | 1-2 | Longford Town |
| Aug 09, 2025 | Longford Town | 2-0 | Treaty United |
| May 23, 2025 | Treaty United | 5-1 | Longford Town |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Longford Town | 2-0 | Treaty United |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Treaty United | 3-1 | Longford Town |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.