Premier Division · Apr 03, 2026 18:45
Shelbourne
PWR 35
Dundalk
PWR 35
Shelbourne
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Dundalk
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)1-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)2-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 66%
Over 3.5
27%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Shelbourne
DDWDL
STABLE
Dundalk
DDWDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 67% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesAway draws 75% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 142% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.59
Shelbournevs
1.25
DundalkGoal Probability
Shelbourne
0
8%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Dundalk
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (10%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Shelbourne+1
Gap#5
Dundalk
WR 0% 9 pts
WR 0% 7 pts
Shelbourne
10.0%
| Mar 21 | Shelbou… v Sligo R… | 0-0 |
| Mar 16 | Shelbou… v Bohemia… | 0-0 |
| Mar 13 | Shelbou… v Kerry FC | 1-2 |
| Mar 09 | Shelbou… v Shamroc… | 2-2 |
| Mar 06 | Shelbou… v St Patr… | 2-3 |
| Feb 27 | Shelbou… v Droghed… | 1-2 |
| Feb 20 | Shelbou… v Galway … | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | Shelbou… v Wexford | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Shelbou… v Bohemia… | 2-2 |
| Dec 18 | Shelbou… v Celje | 0-0 |
Dundalk
10.0%
| Mar 20 | Dundalk v Bohemia… | 1-1 |
| Mar 16 | Dundalk v Sligo R… | 0-0 |
| Mar 13 | Dundalk v Wexford | 5-0 |
| Mar 06 | Dundalk v Galway … | 2-2 |
| Feb 27 | Dundalk v St Patr… | 4-0 |
| Feb 23 | Dundalk v Shamroc… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Dundalk v Droghed… | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Dundalk v Kerry FC | 2-2 |
| Oct 17 | Dundalk v Cobh Ra… | 1-2 |
| Oct 10 | Dundalk v Finn Ha… | 3-0 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.