Premier Division · Apr 03, 2026 19:00
Galway United
PWR 35
Galway United
PWR 35
0-1
predicted
Kerry FC
PWR 53
PWR 53
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Kerry FC to win (55% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
25%
Team Comparison
0Attack50
100Defense63
Goals/G
0.01.4
Conc/G
0.01.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Galway United
LWLDL
STABLE
Kerry FC
LWDDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
Galway Unitedvs
0.83
Kerry FCGoal Probability
Galway Unit…
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Kerry FC
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (12%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (9%)0-0 (8%)1-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Galway Unit…-4
Gap#3
Kerry FC
WR 33% 79 pts
WR 44% 116 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway United | 61 | 20 | 19 | 22 | 62 | 64 | 79 |
| Kerry FC | 72 | 32 | 20 | 20 | 102 | 76 | 116 |
Galway United
6.0%
| Mar 20 | Galway … v Shamroc… | 2-0 |
| Mar 16 | Galway … v Wexford | 4-3 |
| Mar 13 | Galway … v Bohemia… | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Galway … v Dundalk | 2-2 |
| Mar 02 | Galway … v St Patr… | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Galway … v Sligo R… | 1-0 |
| Feb 20 | Galway … v Shelbou… | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | Galway … v Droghed… | 0-1 |
| Jan 29 | Galway … v Cork Ci… | 3-1 |
| Jan 24 | Galway … v Sligo R… | 6-0 |
Kerry FC
8.0%
| Mar 27 | Kerry FC v Bray Wa… | 2-1 |
| Mar 20 | Kerry FC v Finn Ha… | 1-0 |
| Mar 16 | Kerry FC v St Patr… | 0-0 |
| Mar 13 | Kerry FC v Wexford | 1-1 |
| Mar 13 | Kerry FC v Shelbou… | 1-2 |
| Mar 06 | Kerry FC v Treaty … | 2-2 |
| Mar 06 | Kerry FC v Shamroc… | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Kerry FC v Longfor… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Kerry FC v Wexford | 4-2 |
| Feb 20 | Kerry FC v Athlone… | 0-1 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Galway United struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.