Primeira Liga · Apr 04, 2026 16:00
Casa Pia AC
PWR 35
Benfica
PWR 35
Casa Pia AC
PWR 35
2-3
predicted
Benfica
PWR 35
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Benfica Win
Score
2-3
Confidence
74%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (7%)1-2 (6%)3-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
72%
72%
Under 2.5
28%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 73%
Over 3.5
43%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Casa Pia AC
LDDLW
STABLE
Benfica
WWWLW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy88%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_FORM_DOMINANTAWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 50% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 73% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (26.0%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.37
Casa Pia ACvs
1.64
BenficaGoal Probability
Casa Pia AC
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Benfica
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
0-2 (11%)0-3 (9%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (9%)1-3 (8%)1-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% | - |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 4.5 | 25% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Casa Pia AC-12
Gap#3
Benfica
WR 17% 24 pts
WR 77% 62 pts
Casa Pia AC
8.0%
| Mar 20 | Casa Piā¦ v Estrelaā¦ | 4-0 |
| Mar 07 | Casa Piā¦ v Estoril | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Casa Piā¦ v Moreireā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Casa Piā¦ v Famalicā¦ | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Casa Piā¦ v Arouca | 3-2 |
| Feb 08 | Casa Piā¦ v Nacional | 0-0 |
| Feb 02 | Casa Piā¦ v FC Porto | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Casa Piā¦ v AVS | 3-3 |
| Jan 16 | Casa Piā¦ v Sportinā¦ | 3-0 |
| Jan 04 | Casa Piā¦ v Rio Aveā¦ | 3-1 |
Benfica
16.0%
| Mar 22 | Benfica v Farense | 1-0 |
| Mar 22 | Benfica v MarĆtimā¦ | 1-3 |
| Mar 21 | Benfica v Guimaraā¦ | 3-0 |
| Mar 14 | Benfica v Pacos Fā¦ | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Benfica v Arouca | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | Benfica v Valadarā¦ | 2-2 |
| Mar 09 | Benfica v Moreireā¦ | 3-0 |
| Mar 08 | Benfica v FC Porto | 2-2 |
| Mar 02 | Benfica v GIL Vicā¦ | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Benfica v Penafieā¦ | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Nov 09, 2025 | Benfica | 2-2 | Casa Pia AC |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Casa Pia AC | 3-1 | Benfica |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Benfica | 3-0 | Casa Pia AC |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Benfica | 3-0 | Casa Pia AC |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Casa Pia AC | 0-1 | Benfica |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Casa Pia AC | 0-1 | Benfica |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Benfica in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.