Primeira Liga · Apr 04, 2026 16:00
Moreirense
PWR 35
SC Braga
PWR 35
Moreirense
PWR 35
2-3
predicted
SC Braga
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Moreirense Win
Score
2-3
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (16%)1-0 (15%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
28%
Under 2.5
72%
72%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Moreirense
WLLLW
STABLE
SC Braga
LLWDL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (24.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Moreirensevs
0.88
SC BragaGoal Probability
Moreirense
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
SC Braga
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (19%)0-0 (14%)0-2 (13%)1-1 (12%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Moreirense-4
Gap#4
SC Braga
WR 50% 35 pts
WR 46% 46 pts
Moreirense
8.0%
| Mar 22 | Moreire… v Felguei… | 0-3 |
| Mar 22 | Moreire… v Sportin… | 1-2 |
| Mar 21 | Moreire… v Marítimo | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Moreire… v Arouca | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | Moreire… v Portimo… | 1-0 |
| Mar 16 | Moreire… v FC Porto | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Moreire… v Penafie… | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Moreire… v FC Porto | 3-0 |
| Mar 09 | Moreire… v Benfica | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Moreire… v Moreire… | 0-3 |
SC Braga
6.0%
| Mar 22 | SC Braga v FC Porto | 1-2 |
| Mar 21 | SC Braga v São Joã… | 0-1 |
| Mar 18 | SC Braga v Ferencv… | 4-0 |
| Mar 15 | SC Braga v Sanjoan… | 2-2 |
| Mar 12 | SC Braga v Ferencv… | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | SC Braga v São Joã… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | SC Braga v Sportin… | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | SC Braga v Paredes | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | SC Braga v Nacional | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | SC Braga v AD Marc… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Nov 09, 2025 | SC Braga | 2-1 | Moreirense |
| Jul 16, 2025 | SC Braga | 2-0 | Moreirense |
| Feb 03, 2025 | Moreirense | 1-2 | SC Braga |
| Aug 25, 2024 | SC Braga | 3-1 | Moreirense |
| Aug 25, 2024 | SC Braga | 3-1 | Moreirense |
| Jul 10, 2024 | SC Braga | 0-2 | Moreirense |
| Feb 04, 2024 | SC Braga | 1-0 | Moreirense |
| Feb 04, 2024 | SC Braga | 1-0 | Moreirense |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Moreirense struggling (3L in last 5)
SC Braga struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.