Primeira Liga · Apr 04, 2026 16:00
Sporting CP
PWR 35
Santa Clara
PWR 35
Sporting CP
PWR 35
6-1
predicted
Santa Clara
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sporting CP Win
Score
6-1
Confidence
63%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (33%)1-0 (27%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
10%
Under 2.5
90%
90%
BTTS
No
No 14%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sporting CP
WWWLL
UP
Santa Clara
WWWDD
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElevated draw risk (23.0%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got GOLD/3 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Sporting CPvs
0.28
Santa ClaraGoal Probability
Sporting CP
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Santa Clara
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)0-0 (17%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 2.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Sporting CP+12
Gap#14
Santa Clara
WR 83% 62 pts
WR 15% 25 pts
Sporting CP
12.0%
| Mar 22 | Sportin… v Moreire… | 1-2 |
| Mar 22 | Sportin… v Alverca | 0-2 |
| Mar 17 | Sportin… v Bodø/Gl… | 3-0 |
| Mar 13 | Sportin… v Chaves | 0-1 |
| Mar 11 | Sportin… v Bodø/Gl… | 3-0 |
| Mar 08 | Sportin… v Lusitân… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Sportin… v SC Braga | 2-2 |
| Mar 04 | Sportin… v Carabob… | 0-1 |
| Mar 03 | Sportin… v FC Porto | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Sportin… v Leixões… | 0-1 |
Santa Clara
16.0%
| Mar 21 | Santa C… v GIL Vic… | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Santa C… v AVS | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Santa C… v Guimara… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Santa C… v Tondela | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Santa C… v Alverca | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Santa C… v Benfica | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Santa C… v Estrela… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Santa C… v Estoril | 2-4 |
| Jan 24 | Santa C… v Moreire… | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Santa C… v Famalic… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 18, 2025 | Santa Clara | 2-3 | Sporting CP |
| Nov 08, 2025 | Santa Clara | 1-2 | Sporting CP |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Santa Clara | 0-1 | Sporting CP |
| Dec 18, 2024 | Sporting CP | 2-1 | Santa Clara |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Sporting CP | 0-1 | Santa Clara |
| Apr 01, 2023 | Sporting CP | 3-0 | Santa Clara |
| Oct 08, 2022 | Santa Clara | 1-2 | Sporting CP |
| May 14, 2022 | Sporting CP | 4-0 | Santa Clara |
| Jan 26, 2022 | Sporting CP | 2-1 | Santa Clara |
| Jan 07, 2022 | Santa Clara | 3-2 | Sporting CP |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
88%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sporting CP in strong form (3W in last 5)
Santa Clara in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.