Primeira Liga · Apr 04, 2026 16:00

GIL Vicente
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
AVS
PWR 35
43% 25% 32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
GIL Vicente Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (6%)2-1 (4%)1-0 (2%)3-2 (2%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No 50%
Over 3.5
50%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
GIL Vicente LDDLL
STABLE
AVS DLDDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
GIL Vicente
vs
0.70
AVS
Goal Probability
GIL Vicente
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
AVS
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)1-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 97% 3% OVER
1.5 88% 12% OVER
2.5 71% 29% OVER
3.5 50% 50% -
4.5 31% 70% UNDER
5.5 16% 84% UNDER
6.5 8% 92% UNDER
League Position
#5
GIL Vicente
+13
Gap
#18
AVS
WR 54% 42 pts WR 0% 10 pts
GIL Vicente 4.0%
Mar 21 GIL Vic… v Santa C… 1-0
Mar 14 GIL Vic… v Alverca 2-2
Mar 08 GIL Vic… v Estrela… 2-2
Mar 02 GIL Vic… v Benfica 1-2
Feb 22 GIL Vic… v Estoril 3-1
Feb 14 GIL Vic… v SC Braga 2-1
Feb 07 GIL Vic… v Moreire… 1-2
Feb 01 GIL Vic… v Famalic… 5-0
Jan 26 GIL Vic… v FC Porto 3-0
Jan 17 GIL Vic… v Nacional 2-1
AVS 6.0%
Mar 21 AVS v Tondela 0-0
Mar 15 AVS v Santa C… 0-1
Mar 07 AVS v Alverca 0-0
Feb 28 AVS v Estrela… 0-0
Feb 21 AVS v Benfica 3-0
Feb 15 AVS v Estoril 3-0
Feb 09 AVS v Famalic… 3-1
Feb 05 AVS v Sportin… 3-2
Feb 02 AVS v SC Braga 0-4
Jan 23 AVS v Casa Pi… 3-3
Head-to-Head (4)
Nov 09, 2025 AVS 1-1 GIL Vicente
Jan 27, 2025 AVS 1-0 GIL Vicente
Aug 16, 2024 GIL Vicente 4-2 AVS
Aug 16, 2024 GIL Vicente 4-2 AVS
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
86%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
GIL Vicente struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.