Primeira Liga · Apr 04, 2026 16:00
FC Porto
PWR 35
Famalicao
PWR 35
FC Porto
PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Famalicao
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FC Porto Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (21%)3-0 (17%)1-0 (17%)0-0 (7%)2-1 (4%)3-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Porto
WLWDW
STABLE
Famalicao
WWWDW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46
FC Portovs
0.20
FamalicaoGoal Probability
FC Porto
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Famalicao
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
FC Porto+5
Gap#6
Famalicao
WR 85% 69 pts
WR 39% 42 pts
FC Porto
14.0%
| Mar 22 | FC Porto v SC Braga | 1-2 |
| Mar 21 | FC Porto v Portimo… | 2-1 |
| Mar 19 | FC Porto v VfB Stu… | 2-0 |
| Mar 16 | FC Porto v Moreire… | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | FC Porto v Moreire… | 3-0 |
| Mar 12 | FC Porto v VfB Stu… | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | FC Porto v MarĂtimo | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | FC Porto v Benfica | 2-2 |
| Mar 03 | FC Porto v Sportin… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | FC Porto v Moreire… | 0-3 |
Famalicao
18.0%
| Mar 21 | Famalic… v Nacional | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Famalic… v Guimara… | 1-2 |
| Mar 06 | Famalic… v Arouca | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Famalic… v Rio Ave… | 0-0 |
| Feb 23 | Famalic… v Casa Pi… | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | Famalic… v Sportin… | 1-0 |
| Feb 09 | Famalic… v AVS | 3-1 |
| Feb 01 | Famalic… v GIL Vic… | 5-0 |
| Jan 25 | Famalic… v Tondela | 3-0 |
| Jan 18 | Famalic… v Santa C… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 18, 2025 | FC Porto | 4-1 | Famalicao |
| Nov 09, 2025 | Famalicao | 0-1 | FC Porto |
| Apr 18, 2025 | FC Porto | 2-1 | Famalicao |
| Dec 07, 2024 | Famalicao | 1-1 | FC Porto |
| Dec 07, 2024 | Famalicao | 1-1 | FC Porto |
| Apr 13, 2024 | FC Porto | 2-2 | Famalicao |
| Apr 13, 2024 | FC Porto | 2-2 | Famalicao |
| Dec 02, 2023 | Famalicao | 0-3 | FC Porto |
| Dec 02, 2023 | Famalicao | 0-3 | FC Porto |
| May 20, 2023 | Famalicao | 2-4 | FC Porto |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Porto in strong form (3W in last 5)
Famalicao in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.