Primera DivisiĂłn · Apr 04, 2026 20:00
Universitario
PWR 35
Alianza Lima
PWR 35
Universitario
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Alianza Lima
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Alianza Lima Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (30%)1-0 (30%)2-0 (15%)0-1 (6%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
12%
Under 2.5
88%
88%
BTTS
No
No 11%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Universitario
DWLWD
STABLE
Alianza Lima
WDWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.0%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Universitariovs
0.20
Alianza LimaGoal Probability
Universitar…
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Alianza Lima
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (20%)0-1 (18%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 2.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Universitar…-3
Gap#1
Alianza Lima
WR 100% 15 pts
WR 50% 20 pts
Universitario
12.0%
| Mar 21 | Univers… v Comerci… | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Univers… v UTC | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Univers… v Cultura… | 3-1 |
| Mar 01 | Univers… v FC Caja… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Univers… v Sportin… | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | Univers… v Ciencia… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Univers… v Cusco | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Univers… v ADT | 2-0 |
| Nov 22 | Univers… v Cultura… | 3-1 |
| Nov 08 | Univers… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
Alianza Lima
18.0%
| Mar 21 | Alianza… v Juan Pa… | 2-0 |
| Mar 14 | Alianza… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Mar 10 | Alianza… v FBC Mel… | 3-1 |
| Feb 28 | Alianza… v UTC | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Alianza… v Sport B… | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Alianza… v Alianza… | 0-0 |
| Feb 12 | Alianza… v 2 de Ma… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Alianza… v Comerci… | 2-1 |
| Feb 05 | Alianza… v 2 de Ma… | 1-0 |
| Jan 30 | Alianza… v Sport H… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 24, 2025 | Universitario | 0-0 | Alianza Lima |
| Apr 06, 2025 | Alianza Lima | 1-1 | Universitario |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
72%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Alianza Lima in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.