Primera DivisiĂłn · Apr 03, 2026 20:00
Alianza Atlético
PWR 35
Atletico Grau
PWR 35
Alianza Atlético
PWR 35
2-0
predicted
Atletico Grau
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Alianza Atlético Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (21%)3-0 (18%)1-0 (16%)0-0 (6%)2-1 (4%)3-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Alianza Atléti…
LWLWD
STABLE
Atletico Grau
DDWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 50% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
Alianza Atléti…vs
0.20
Atletico GrauGoal Probability
Alianza Atl…
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Atletico Gr…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (28%)0-0 (26%)2-0 (15%)1-1 (8%)0-1 (7%)3-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 2.5 | 16% | 85% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Alianza Atl…+8
Gap#17
Atletico Gr…
WR 50% 10 pts
WR 0% 6 pts
Alianza Atléti…
10.0%
| Mar 22 | Alianza… v UTC | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Alianza… v UCV Moq… | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Alianza… v Sportin… | 3-1 |
| Mar 04 | Alianza… v Deporti… | 2-0 |
| Feb 27 | Alianza… v ADT | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Alianza… v Ciencia… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Alianza… v Alianza… | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Alianza… v Cultura… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Alianza… v Cusco | 1-0 |
| Nov 16 | Alianza… v Sport B… | 0-1 |
Atletico Grau
8.0%
| Mar 22 | Atletic… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Atletic… v FBC Mel… | 0-0 |
| Mar 06 | Atletic… v FC Caja… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Atletic… v Comerci… | 3-1 |
| Feb 22 | Atletic… v Juan Pa… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Atletic… v Sport B… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Atletic… v Sport H… | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | Atletic… v UTC | 2-0 |
| Nov 19 | Atletic… v Sportin… | 1-2 |
| Nov 08 | Atletic… v Juan Pa… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 02, 2025 | Atletico Grau | 1-1 | Alianza Atlét… |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Alianza Atlét… | 2-1 | Atletico Grau |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
76%
Market
50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.