Esiliiga A · Apr 04, 2026 09:30
FC Tallinn
PWR 35
Nõmme Kalju II
PWR 35
FC Tallinn
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Nõmme Kalju II
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (18%)1-0 (15%)3-0 (14%)2-1 (7%)0-0 (7%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS
No
No 28%
Over 3.5
50%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Tallinn
DLDLL
STABLE
Nõmme Kalju II
LDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36
FC Tallinnvs
0.37
Nõmme Kalju IIGoal Probability
FC Tallinn
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Nõmme Kalju…
0
69%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (7%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (6%)1-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 50% | 51% | - |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
FC Tallinn+1
Gap#9
Nõmme Kalju…
WR 0% 2 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
FC Tallinn
4.0%
| Mar 22 | FC Tall… v Nõmme U… | 2-2 |
| Mar 15 | FC Tall… v Tallinn… | 5-1 |
| Mar 07 | FC Tall… v Elva | 1-1 |
| Feb 24 | FC Tall… v Riga FC | 0-3 |
| Feb 20 | FC Tall… v Paide | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | FC Tall… v Nõmme U… | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | FC Tall… v FC Leva… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | FC Tall… v Ogre Un… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | FC Tall… v BFC Dau… | 4-0 |
| Jan 25 | FC Tall… v AIK Sto… | 1-0 |
Nõmme Kalju II
2.0%
| Mar 19 | Nõmme K… v Flora II | 3-1 |
| Mar 14 | Nõmme K… v Viimsi | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Nõmme K… v FCI Lev… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Nõmme K… v FCI Lev… | 4-1 |
| Nov 09 | Nõmme K… v Viimsi | 4-0 |
| Nov 01 | Nõmme K… v Tallinn… | 4-1 |
| Oct 26 | Nõmme K… v Luunja | 4-1 |
| Oct 23 | Nõmme K… v Tartu W… | 5-2 |
| Oct 20 | Nõmme K… v FCI Lev… | 0-0 |
| Oct 04 | Nõmme K… v Elva | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Sep 27, 2025 | FC Tallinn | 2-1 | Nõmme Kalju II |
| Aug 09, 2025 | Nõmme Kalju II | 1-0 | FC Tallinn |
| Jun 03, 2025 | FC Tallinn | 7-0 | Nõmme Kalju II |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Nõmme Kalju II | 2-4 | FC Tallinn |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Tallinn struggling (3L in last 5)
Nõmme Kalju II struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.