Stars League · Apr 04, 2026 17:30
Al-Duhail
PWR 35
Al-Gharafa
PWR 35
Al-Duhail
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Al-Gharafa
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)1-0 (13%)3-0 (12%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)3-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
66%
66%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Al-Duhail
LDWLD
STABLE
Al-Gharafa
WLWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 40% at home = very high riskH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Al-Duhailvs
0.53
Al-GharafaGoal Probability
Al-Duhail
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Al-Gharafa
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (9%)4-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)4-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 5.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Al-Duhail-4
Gap#3
Al-Gharafa
WR 30% 24 pts
WR 40% 34 pts
Al-Duhail
8.0%
| Mar 17 | Al-Duha… v Al Sham… | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Al-Duha… v Muaithe… | 2-2 |
| Mar 12 | Al-Duha… v Al Sail… | 0-4 |
| Feb 26 | Al-Duha… v Al-Sadd… | 1-3 |
| Feb 21 | Al-Duha… v Al-Arab… | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Al-Duha… v Al Shor… | 3-2 |
| Feb 09 | Al-Duha… v Sharjah… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Al-Duha… v Al-Khor | 1-5 |
| Feb 04 | Al-Duha… v UMM Sal… | 2-1 |
| Feb 03 | Al-Duha… v Al-Arab… | 1-2 |
Al-Gharafa
8.0%
| Mar 18 | Al-Ghar… v Al Ahli… | 1-0 |
| Mar 12 | Al-Ghar… v Qatar SC | 2-0 |
| Feb 26 | Al-Ghar… v Al-Rayy… | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Al-Ghar… v Al Sham… | 0-1 |
| Feb 17 | Al-Ghar… v Tractor | 0-2 |
| Feb 10 | Al-Ghar… v Al-Itti… | 7-0 |
| Feb 05 | Al-Ghar… v Al Sail… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Al-Ghar… v Al-Sadd… | 1-3 |
| Jan 22 | Al-Ghar… v Sharjah… | 1-1 |
| Jan 19 | Al-Ghar… v Qatar SC | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 28, 2025 | Al-Gharafa | 1-1 | Al-Duhail |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Al-Duhail | 1-0 | Al-Gharafa |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Al-Gharafa | 3-1 | Al-Duhail |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Al-Gharafa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.