Ekstraklasa · Apr 04, 2026 18:15

Jagiellonia
PWR 35
3-1
predicted

Lech Poznan
PWR 35
35% 27% 38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Lech Poznan Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)0-2 (7%)1-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
Yes 60%
Over 3.5
47%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Jagiellonia LWLLD
STABLE
Lech Poznan WWWLL
UP
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.4%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Jagiellonia
vs
1.69
Lech Poznan
Goal Probability
Jagiellonia
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Lech Poznan
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (9%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-3 (6%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 97% 3% OVER
1.5 87% 13% OVER
2.5 68% 32% OVER
3.5 47% 53% -
4.5 28% 72% UNDER
5.5 15% 86% UNDER
6.5 7% 93% UNDER
League Position
#3
Jagiellonia
-1
Gap
#2
Lech Poznan
WR 55% 38 pts WR 46% 41 pts
Jagiellonia 6.0%
Mar 21 Jagiell… v Wisla P… 1-2
Mar 17 Jagiell… v GKS Kat… 2-0
Mar 14 Jagiell… v Piast G… 1-2
Mar 06 Jagiell… v Lechia … 3-0
Mar 01 Jagiell… v Legia W… 2-2
Feb 26 Jagiell… v Fiorent… 2-4
Feb 22 Jagiell… v Radomia… 1-1
Feb 19 Jagiell… v Fiorent… 0-3
Feb 14 Jagiell… v Cracovi… 0-0
Feb 07 Jagiell… v Motor L… 4-1
Lech Poznan 12.0%
Mar 22 Lech Po… v Nieciec… 4-1
Mar 19 Lech Po… v Shakhta… 1-2
Mar 15 Lech Po… v Zaglebi… 0-1
Mar 12 Lech Po… v Shakhta… 1-2
Mar 07 Lech Po… v Widzew … 2-1
Mar 04 Lech Po… v Gornik … 0-1
Mar 01 Lech Po… v Raków C… 4-3
Feb 26 Lech Po… v KuPS 1-0
Feb 22 Lech Po… v Korona … 1-2
Feb 19 Lech Po… v KuPS 0-2
Head-to-Head (1)
Sep 28, 2025 Lech Poznan 2-2 Jagiellonia
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
47%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Lech Poznan in strong form (3W in last 5)
Jagiellonia struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.