Ekstraklasa · Apr 06, 2026 15:30
Pogoń Szczecin
PWR 35
Legia Warszawa
PWR 35
Pogoń Szczecin
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Legia Warszawa
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Pogoń Szczecin Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
Yes 59%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Pogoń Szczecin
LDLWW
STABLE
Legia Warszawa
LWLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway draws 54% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 71% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Pogoń Szczecinvs
1.07
Legia WarszawaGoal Probability
Pogoń Szcze…
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Legia Warsz…
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (14%)1-0 (14%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (14%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 2.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Pogoń Szcze…+2
Gap#16
Legia Warsz…
WR 58% 31 pts
WR 8% 29 pts
Pogoń Szczecin
10.0%
| Mar 21 | Pogoń S… v Lechia … | 2-1 |
| Mar 16 | Pogoń S… v Korona … | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Pogoń S… v Raków C… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Pogoń S… v Widzew … | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Pogoń S… v Gornik … | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Pogoń S… v Arka Gd… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Pogoń S… v Nieciec… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Pogoń S… v Motor L… | 2-1 |
| Jan 18 | Pogoń S… v FK Jabl… | 0-0 |
| Dec 06 | Pogoń S… v Radomia… | 2-2 |
Legia Warszawa
6.0%
| Mar 22 | Legia W… v Raków C… | 0-1 |
| Mar 21 | Legia W… v Miedź L… | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Legia W… v Pogoń G… | 3-2 |
| Mar 13 | Legia W… v Radomia… | 1-1 |
| Mar 09 | Legia W… v ŁKS Łódź | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Legia W… v Cracovi… | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Legia W… v Wisla K… | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Legia W… v Jagiell… | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Legia W… v Wisla P… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Legia W… v Ruch Ch… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 30, 2025 | Legia Warszawa | 1-2 | Pogoń Szczecin |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Legia Warszawa | 1-0 | Pogoń Szczecin |
| May 02, 2025 | Pogoń Szczecin | 3-4 | Legia Warszawa |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
68%
Market
50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Legia Warszawa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.