Ekstraklasa · Apr 06, 2026 18:15
Lechia Gdansk
PWR 35
Korona Kielce
PWR 35
Lechia Gdansk
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Korona Kielce
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-1 (12%)0-0 (11%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
61%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Lechia Gdansk
WLWDL
STABLE
Korona Kielce
WDWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Lechia Gdanskvs
1.09
Korona KielceGoal Probability
Lechia Gdan…
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Korona Kiel…
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)0-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Lechia Gdan…-2
Gap#11
Korona Kiel…
WR 50% 31 pts
WR 33% 33 pts
Lechia Gdansk
10.0%
| Mar 21 | Lechia … v Pogoń S… | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Lechia … v GKS Kat… | 2-0 |
| Mar 06 | Lechia … v Jagiell… | 3-0 |
| Feb 27 | Lechia … v Arka Gd… | 2-2 |
| Feb 23 | Lechia … v Zaglebi… | 0-2 |
| Feb 15 | Lechia … v Motor L… | 2-3 |
| Feb 06 | Lechia … v Cracovi… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Lechia … v Lech Po… | 1-3 |
| Jan 22 | Lechia … v Mladost… | 1-1 |
| Jan 20 | Lechia … v Hradec … | 1-2 |
Korona Kielce
10.0%
| Mar 22 | Korona … v Arka Gd… | 3-0 |
| Mar 16 | Korona … v Pogoń S… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Korona … v Nieciec… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Korona … v Motor L… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Korona … v Lech Po… | 1-2 |
| Feb 13 | Korona … v Radomia… | 0-2 |
| Feb 06 | Korona … v Zaglebi… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Korona … v Legia W… | 1-2 |
| Jan 14 | Korona … v CSKA So… | 0-2 |
| Dec 08 | Korona … v Wisla P… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 27, 2025 | Korona Kielce | 3-0 | Lechia Gdansk |
| May 11, 2025 | Lechia Gdansk | 3-2 | Korona Kielce |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.