Liga MX · Apr 04, 2026 01:00
Puebla
PWR 35
FC Juarez
PWR 35
Puebla
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
FC Juarez
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (8%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)1-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
Yes 60%
Over 3.5
32%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Puebla
LDLWW
STABLE
FC Juarez
WDLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Pueblavs
1.19
FC JuarezGoal Probability
Puebla
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
FC Juarez
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Puebla+2
Gap#13
FC Juarez
WR 33% 12 pts
WR 40% 11 pts
Puebla
10.0%
| Mar 22 | Puebla v Santos … | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Puebla v Necaxa | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Puebla v Pachuca | 2-1 |
| Mar 05 | Puebla v Tigres … | 3-1 |
| Feb 28 | Puebla v Atletic… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Puebla v Club Am… | 0-4 |
| Feb 14 | Puebla v U.N.A.M… | 2-3 |
| Feb 07 | Puebla v Club Ti… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Puebla v Toluca | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Puebla v Cruz Az… | 1-0 |
FC Juarez
14.0%
| Mar 23 | FC Juar… v Tigres … | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | FC Juar… v Monterr… | 2-2 |
| Mar 08 | FC Juar… v Toluca | 3-1 |
| Mar 05 | FC Juar… v Club Am… | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | FC Juar… v Atlas | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | FC Juar… v Necaxa | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | FC Juar… v Pachuca | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | FC Juar… v Cruz Az… | 3-4 |
| Jan 18 | FC Juar… v Santos … | 2-2 |
| Jan 14 | FC Juar… v Guadala… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 25, 2025 | FC Juarez | 4-4 | Puebla |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
51%
Market
50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Juarez in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.