Liga MX · Apr 04, 2026 03:00
Necaxa
PWR 35
Mazatlán FC
PWR 35
Necaxa
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Mazatlán FC
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (15%)3-0 (12%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS
No 40%
Over 3.5
36%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Necaxa
WDLLL
STABLE
Mazatlán FC
DLWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46
Necaxavs
0.57
Mazatlán FCGoal Probability
Necaxa
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Mazatlán FC
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (10%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 3.5 | 36% | 65% | - |
| 4.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Necaxa+1
Gap#15
Mazatlán FC
WR 20% 10 pts
WR 20% 10 pts
Necaxa
6.0%
| Mar 21 | Necaxa v Club Ti… | 3-0 |
| Mar 14 | Necaxa v Puebla | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Necaxa v U.N.A.M… | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Necaxa v Pachuca | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Necaxa v LeĂłn FC | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Necaxa v Toluca | 0-3 |
| Feb 15 | Necaxa v FC Juar… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Necaxa v Atletic… | 4-1 |
| Jan 31 | Necaxa v Club Am… | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Necaxa v Atlas | 0-1 |
Mazatlán FC
10.0%
| Mar 21 | Mazatlá… v Cruz Az… | 1-1 |
| Mar 16 | Mazatlá… v Club Am… | 2-0 |
| Mar 07 | Mazatlá… v León FC | 4-2 |
| Mar 04 | Mazatlá… v Atletic… | 4-1 |
| Feb 28 | Mazatlá… v Pachuca | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Mazatlá… v Club Ti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Mazatlá… v Santos … | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Mazatlá… v Guadala… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Mazatlá… v Atlas | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Mazatlá… v Monterr… | 1-5 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 08, 2025 | Mazatlán FC | 1-1 | Necaxa |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
92%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Necaxa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.