Paulista - A4 · Apr 04, 2026 18:00
EC Lemense
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Grêmio Sãocarlense
PWR 35
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)1-0 (15%)3-0 (11%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)0-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
EC Lemense
LDLDL
STABLE
Grêmio Sãocarl…
WWDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
EC Lemensevs
0.53
Grêmio Sãocarl…Goal Probability
EC Lemense
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
11%
Grêmio Sãoc…
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (21%)1-0 (17%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 2.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
EC Lemense-3
Gap#5
Grêmio Sãoc…
WR 43% 21 pts
WR 29% 22 pts
EC Lemense
4.0%
| Mar 28 | EC Leme… v ECUS | 2-0 |
| Mar 25 | EC Leme… v Jabaqua… | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | EC Leme… v Vocem | 2-1 |
| Mar 18 | EC Leme… v Joseense | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | EC Leme… v São Cae… | 2-0 |
| Mar 07 | EC Leme… v Colorad… | 1-2 |
| Mar 04 | EC Leme… v Peneden… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | EC Leme… v Comerci… | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | EC Leme… v Naciona… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | EC Leme… v Taquari… | 4-1 |
Grêmio Sãocarl…
10.0%
| Mar 28 | Grêmio … v São Cae… | 4-1 |
| Mar 25 | Grêmio … v Joseense | 0-1 |
| Mar 21 | Grêmio … v Peneden… | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | Grêmio … v Taquari… | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Grêmio … v Jabaqua… | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Grêmio … v Vocem | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Grêmio … v Barretos | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Grêmio … v Colorad… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Grêmio … v Tanabi | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Grêmio … v Inter d… | 2-2 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
89%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
EC Lemense struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.