Bundesliga · Apr 04, 2026 13:30
1899 Hoffenheim
PWR 0
FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
1899 Hoffenheim
PWR 0
4-1
predicted
FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
1899 Hoffenheim Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (20%)2-0 (18%)0-0 (11%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
63%
BTTS
No
No 29%
Over 3.5
40%
Team Comparison
0Attack45
0Defense78
Goals/G
0.01.5
Conc/G
0.00.8
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
1899 Hoffenheim
LDWLD
STABLE
FSV Mainz 05
WWWDD
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
1899 Hoffenheimvs
0.42
FSV Mainz 05Goal Probability
1899 Hoffen…
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
FSV Mainz 05
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)1-0 (7%)2-2 (7%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
1899 Hoffen…+10
Gap#13
FSV Mainz 05
WR 62% 50 pts
WR 23% 27 pts
1899 Hoffenheim
8.0%
| Mar 20 | 1899 Ho… v RasenBa… | 2-0 |
| Mar 14 | 1899 Ho… v VfL Wol… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | 1899 Ho… v FC Heid… | 2-4 |
| Feb 28 | 1899 Ho… v FC St. … | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | 1899 Ho… v FC Koln | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | 1899 Ho… v SC Frei… | 3-0 |
| Feb 08 | 1899 Ho… v FC Baye… | 5-1 |
| Jan 31 | 1899 Ho… v Union B… | 3-1 |
| Jan 27 | 1899 Ho… v Werder … | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | 1899 Ho… v Eintrac… | 1-3 |
FSV Mainz 05
16.0%
| Mar 22 | FSV Mai… v Eintrac… | 2-1 |
| Mar 19 | FSV Mai… v Sigma O… | 2-0 |
| Mar 15 | FSV Mai… v Werder … | 0-2 |
| Mar 12 | FSV Mai… v Sigma O… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | FSV Mai… v VfB Stu… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | FSV Mai… v Bayer 0… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | FSV Mai… v Hamburg… | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | FSV Mai… v Borussi… | 4-0 |
| Feb 07 | FSV Mai… v FC Augs… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | FSV Mai… v RasenBa… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 21, 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 | 1-1 | 1899 Hoffenhe… |
| Apr 12, 2025 | 1899 Hoffenhe… | 2-0 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Dec 01, 2024 | FSV Mainz 05 | 2-0 | 1899 Hoffenhe… |
| Apr 13, 2024 | FSV Mainz 05 | 4-1 | 1899 Hoffenhe… |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1899 Hoffenhe… | 1-1 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Mar 04, 2023 | FSV Mainz 05 | 1-0 | 1899 Hoffenhe… |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1899 Hoffenhe… | 2-2 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | 1899 Hoffenhe… | 4-1 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Feb 05, 2022 | FSV Mainz 05 | 2-0 | 1899 Hoffenhe… |
| Sep 11, 2021 | 1899 Hoffenhe… | 0-2 | FSV Mainz 05 |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
85%
Market
50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FSV Mainz 05 in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.