Bundesliga · Apr 04, 2026 13:30

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
PWR 42
4-1
predicted

VfL Wolfsburg
PWR 35
53% 23% 24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (25%)0-0 (18%)2-0 (17%)1-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)0-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5 75%
75%
BTTS No
No 21%
Over 3.5
32%
Team Comparison
60Attack30
59Defense70
Goals/G
2.01.0
Conc/G
1.41.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Bayer 04 Lever… DDDDD
STABLE
VfL Wolfsburg LDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 5/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Bayer 04 Lever…
vs
0.33
VfL Wolfsburg
Goal Probability
Bayer 04 Le…
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
VfL Wolfsbu…
0
72%
1
24%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (14%)1-0 (13%)3-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 94% 6% OVER
1.5 78% 22% OVER
2.5 54% 46% -
3.5 32% 68% UNDER
4.5 16% 84% UNDER
5.5 7% 93% UNDER
6.5 3% 97% UNDER
League Position
#6
Bayer 04 Le…
+11
Gap
#17
VfL Wolfsbu…
WR 54% 45 pts WR 23% 21 pts
Bayer 04 Lever… 10.0%
Mar 21 Bayer 0… v FC Heid… 3-3
Mar 17 Bayer 0… v Arsenal 0-0
Mar 14 Bayer 0… v FC Baye… 1-1
Mar 11 Bayer 0… v Arsenal 1-1
Mar 07 Bayer 0… v SC Frei… 3-3
Mar 04 Bayer 0… v Hamburg… 0-1
Feb 28 Bayer 0… v FSV Mai… 1-1
Feb 24 Bayer 0… v Olympia… 0-0
Feb 21 Bayer 0… v Union B… 1-0
Feb 18 Bayer 0… v Olympia… 0-2
VfL Wolfsburg 2.0%
Mar 21 VfL Wol… v Werder … 0-1
Mar 14 VfL Wol… v 1899 Ho… 1-1
Mar 07 VfL Wol… v Hamburg… 1-2
Mar 01 VfL Wol… v VfB Stu… 4-0
Feb 21 VfL Wol… v FC Augs… 2-3
Feb 15 VfL Wol… v RasenBa… 2-2
Feb 07 VfL Wol… v Borussi… 1-2
Jan 30 VfL Wol… v FC Koln 1-0
Jan 24 VfL Wol… v FSV Mai… 3-1
Jan 17 VfL Wol… v FC Heid… 1-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Nov 22, 2025 VfL Wolfsburg 1-3 Bayer 04 Leve…
Feb 08, 2025 VfL Wolfsburg 0-0 Bayer 04 Leve…
Sep 22, 2024 Bayer 04 Leve… 4-3 VfL Wolfsburg
Sep 22, 2024 Bayer 04 Leve… 4-3 VfL Wolfsburg
Mar 10, 2024 Bayer 04 Leve… 2-0 VfL Wolfsburg
Mar 10, 2024 Bayer 04 Leve… 2-0 VfL Wolfsburg
Oct 21, 2023 VfL Wolfsburg 1-2 Bayer 04 Leve…
Apr 16, 2023 VfL Wolfsburg 0-0 Bayer 04 Leve…
Oct 22, 2022 Bayer 04 Leve… 2-2 VfL Wolfsburg
Mar 20, 2022 VfL Wolfsburg 0-2 Bayer 04 Leve…
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
82%
Market
50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
VfL Wolfsburg struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.