Bundesliga · Apr 04, 2026 13:30
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
FC Augsburg
PWR 28
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
2-1
predicted
FC Augsburg
PWR 28
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Hamburger SV Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)2-0 (6%)3-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
72%
72%
Under 2.5
28%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 71%
Over 3.5
54%
Team Comparison
30Attack36
54Defense45
Goals/G
1.01.2
Conc/G
1.51.9
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Hamburger SV
LDWLL
STABLE
FC Augsburg
LWLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/6 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
Hamburger SVvs
1.48
FC AugsburgGoal Probability
Hamburger SV
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
FC Augsburg
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)1-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Hamburger SV-1
Gap#10
FC Augsburg
WR 36% 30 pts
WR 23% 31 pts
Hamburger SV
6.0%
| Mar 21 | Hamburg… v Borussi… | 3-2 |
| Mar 14 | Hamburg… v FC Koln | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Hamburg… v VfL Wol… | 1-2 |
| Mar 04 | Hamburg… v Bayer 0… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Hamburg… v RasenBa… | 1-2 |
| Feb 20 | Hamburg… v FSV Mai… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Hamburg… v Union B… | 3-2 |
| Feb 07 | Hamburg… v FC Heid… | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Hamburg… v FC Baye… | 2-2 |
| Jan 23 | Hamburg… v FC St. … | 0-0 |
FC Augsburg
6.0%
| Mar 22 | FC Augs… v VfB Stu… | 0-3 |
| Mar 22 | FC Augs… v Preusse… | 1-3 |
| Mar 14 | FC Augs… v Borussi… | 2-0 |
| Mar 13 | FC Augs… v SV Darm… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | FC Augs… v RasenBa… | 2-1 |
| Mar 06 | FC Augs… v SV Elve… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | FC Augs… v Karlsru… | 1-3 |
| Feb 27 | FC Augs… v FC Koln | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | FC Augs… v VfL Wol… | 2-3 |
| Feb 21 | FC Augs… v FC Scha… | 5-3 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Nov 22, 2025 | FC Augsburg | 1-0 | Hamburger SV |
| Mar 14, 2025 | FC Augsburg | 0-3 | Hamburger SV |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Hamburger SV | 3-1 | FC Augsburg |
| Apr 14, 2024 | FC Augsburg | 2-2 | Hamburger SV |
| Apr 14, 2024 | FC Augsburg | 2-2 | Hamburger SV |
| Jul 07, 2021 | FC Augsburg | 2-2 | Hamburger SV |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Hamburger SV struggling (3L in last 5)
FC Augsburg struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.