Bundesliga · Apr 04, 2026 13:30
Union Berlin
PWR 46
FC St. Pauli
PWR 35
Union Berlin
PWR 46
2-1
predicted
FC St. Pauli
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FC St. Pauli Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (12%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
No 38%
Over 3.5
48%
Team Comparison
60Attack0
70Defense100
Goals/G
2.00.0
Conc/G
1.00.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Union Berlin
LLLWW
DOWN
FC St. Pauli
LLDWW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 38% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.0%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
3.26
Union Berlinvs
0.50
FC St. PauliGoal Probability
Union Berlin
0
4%
1
13%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
FC St. Pauli
0
61%
1
30%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)3-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Union Berlin+7
Gap#16
FC St. Pauli
WR 31% 31 pts
WR 14% 24 pts
Union Berlin
8.0%
| Mar 27 | Union B… v OSC Bre… | 5-0 |
| Mar 21 | Union B… v Blument… | 1-3 |
| Mar 21 | Union B… v FC Baye… | 4-0 |
| Mar 15 | Union B… v Woltmer… | 2-6 |
| Mar 15 | Union B… v SC Frei… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Union B… v Werder … | 1-4 |
| Mar 07 | Union B… v Oberneu… | 4-2 |
| Mar 01 | Union B… v Sebalds… | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Union B… v Borussi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Union B… v Bayer 0… | 1-0 |
FC St. Pauli
10.0%
| Mar 22 | FC St. … v SC Frei… | 1-2 |
| Mar 13 | FC St. … v Borussi… | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | FC St. … v Eintrac… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | FC St. … v 1899 Ho… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | FC St. … v Werder … | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | FC St. … v Bayer 0… | 4-0 |
| Feb 07 | FC St. … v VfB Stu… | 2-1 |
| Feb 03 | FC St. … v Bayer 0… | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | FC St. … v FC Augs… | 2-1 |
| Jan 27 | FC St. … v RasenBa… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 23, 2025 | FC St. Pauli | 0-1 | Union Berlin |
| Jan 26, 2025 | FC St. Pauli | 3-0 | Union Berlin |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Union Berlin | 1-0 | FC St. Pauli |
Decision Breakdown
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
65%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Union Berlin struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.