Bundesliga · Apr 04, 2026 13:30

SC Freiburg
PWR 34
2-5
predicted

FC Bayern München
PWR 70
33% 27% 40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FC Bayern München Win
Score
2-5
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-3 (6%)2-3 (5%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5 73%
73%
Under 2.5
27%
BTTS Yes
Yes 75%
Over 3.5
47%
Team Comparison
47Attack100
51Defense100
Goals/G
1.65.0
Conc/G
1.70.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
SC Freiburg WWLLD
STABLE
FC Bayern Münc… WWDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 31% at home = very high riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
SC Freiburg
vs
2.16
FC Bayern Münc…
Goal Probability
SC Freiburg
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
FC Bayern M…
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
11%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (10%)0-2 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-3 (8%)0-1 (7%)0-3 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 97% 3% OVER
1.5 87% 14% OVER
2.5 68% 32% OVER
3.5 47% 53% -
4.5 28% 72% UNDER
5.5 14% 86% UNDER
6.5 7% 93% UNDER
League Position
#8
SC Freiburg
-7
Gap
#1
FC Bayern M…
WR 54% 34 pts WR 77% 67 pts
SC Freiburg 10.0%
Mar 22 SC Frei… v FC St. … 1-2
Mar 19 SC Frei… v Genk 5-1
Mar 15 SC Frei… v Union B… 0-1
Mar 12 SC Frei… v Genk 1-0
Mar 07 SC Frei… v Bayer 0… 3-3
Mar 01 SC Frei… v Eintrac… 2-0
Feb 22 SC Frei… v Borussi… 2-1
Feb 14 SC Frei… v 1899 Ho… 3-0
Feb 07 SC Frei… v Werder … 1-0
Feb 01 SC Frei… v VfB Stu… 1-0
FC Bayern Münc… 18.0%
Mar 21 FC Baye… v Union B… 4-0
Mar 18 FC Baye… v Atalanta 4-1
Mar 14 FC Baye… v Bayer 0… 1-1
Mar 10 FC Baye… v Atalanta 1-6
Mar 06 FC Baye… v Borussi… 4-1
Feb 28 FC Baye… v Borussi… 2-3
Feb 21 FC Baye… v Eintrac… 3-2
Feb 14 FC Baye… v Werder … 0-3
Feb 11 FC Baye… v RasenBa… 2-0
Feb 08 FC Baye… v 1899 Ho… 5-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Nov 22, 2025 FC Bayern Mün… 6-2 SC Freiburg
Jan 25, 2025 SC Freiburg 1-2 FC Bayern Mün…
Sep 01, 2024 FC Bayern Mün… 2-0 SC Freiburg
Sep 01, 2024 FC Bayern Mün… 2-0 SC Freiburg
Mar 01, 2024 SC Freiburg 2-2 FC Bayern Mün…
Mar 01, 2024 SC Freiburg 2-2 FC Bayern Mün…
Oct 08, 2023 FC Bayern Mün… 3-0 SC Freiburg
Apr 08, 2023 SC Freiburg 0-1 FC Bayern Mün…
Apr 04, 2023 FC Bayern Mün… 1-2 SC Freiburg
Oct 16, 2022 FC Bayern Mün… 5-0 SC Freiburg
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
48%
Standings
36%
Market
50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Bayern München in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.