Liga 3 · Apr 03, 2026 10:00
Mafra
PWR 35
Mafra
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
União Santarém
PWR 35
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
PRO: Mafra to win (71% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
71%
TierPRO
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (17%)1-0 (15%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.39x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.02x
Over 2.5
27%
Under 2.5
73%
73%
BTTS
No 35%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mafra
LLLLD
DOWN
União Santarém
LLLWL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Liga 3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Mafravs
0.89
União SantarémGoal Probability
Mafra
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
União Santa…
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (14%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (14%)1-0 (13%)0-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Mafra+2
Gap#4
União Santa…
WR 50% 34 pts
WR 33% 25 pts
Mafra
2.0%
| Mar 22 | Mafra v CF Os B… | 1-4 |
| Mar 15 | Mafra v Academi… | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Mafra v Guimara… | 1-2 |
| Mar 04 | Mafra v União S… | 3-1 |
| Feb 27 | Mafra v Trofense | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Mafra v Amarante | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Mafra v Varzim | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Mafra v Atlétic… | 1-2 |
| Jan 16 | Mafra v União S… | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Mafra v 1º Deze… | 1-1 |
União Santarém
4.0%
| Mar 21 | União S… v Varzim | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | União S… v Amarante | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | União S… v CF Os B… | 0-2 |
| Mar 04 | União S… v Mafra | 3-1 |
| Feb 28 | União S… v Academi… | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | União S… v Guimara… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | União S… v Trofense | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | União S… v CF Os B… | 2-1 |
| Jan 16 | União S… v Mafra | 0-0 |
| Jan 11 | União S… v Atlétic… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Mar 04, 2026 | União Santarém | 3-1 | Mafra |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Mafra | 0-0 | União Santarém |
| Oct 26, 2025 | União Santarém | 1-2 | Mafra |
| Oct 02, 2022 | União Santarém | 0-1 | Mafra |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
58%
Market
53%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Mafra struggling (4L in last 5)
União Santarém struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.