Liga 3 · Apr 04, 2026 10:00
Guimaraes
PWR 44
Academica
PWR 35
Guimaraes
PWR 44
1-1
predicted
Academica
PWR 35
25%
29%
46%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (8%)0-1 (7%)1-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS
Yes 56%
Over 3.5
25%
Team Comparison
39Attack0
58Defense100
Goals/G
1.10.0
Conc/G
1.20.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Guimaraes
LLLLW
DOWN
Academica
DWWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Liga 3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Guimaraesvs
1.15
AcademicaGoal Probability
Guimaraes
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Academica
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (13%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (11%)1-2 (10%)0-0 (8%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Guimaraes-13
Gap#2
Academica
WR 34% 59 pts
WR 42% 98 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 47 | 16 | 11 | 20 | 53 | 57 | 59 |
| Academica | 62 | 26 | 20 | 16 | 93 | 70 | 98 |
Guimaraes
4.0%
| Mar 22 | Guimaraā¦ v Amarante | 2-1 |
| Mar 21 | Guimaraā¦ v Benfica | 3-0 |
| Mar 15 | Guimaraā¦ v Trofense | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | Guimaraā¦ v Famalicā¦ | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | Guimaraā¦ v Mafra | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | Guimaraā¦ v Santa Cā¦ | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Guimaraā¦ v Varzim | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Guimaraā¦ v Alverca | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Guimaraā¦ v UniĆ£o Sā¦ | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Guimaraā¦ v SC Braga | 3-2 |
Academica
18.0%
| Mar 29 | Academiā¦ v Amarante | 1-1 |
| Mar 22 | Academiā¦ v Trofense | 1-2 |
| Mar 15 | Academiā¦ v Mafra | 2-0 |
| Mar 07 | Academiā¦ v Varzim | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Academiā¦ v UniĆ£o Sā¦ | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Academiā¦ v CF Os Bā¦ | 3-2 |
| Feb 06 | Academiā¦ v Guimaraā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Academiā¦ v Caldas | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Academiā¦ v Amora | 2-0 |
| Jan 14 | Academiā¦ v SC Coviā¦ | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Feb 06, 2026 | Academica | 1-0 | Guimaraes |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Academica in strong form (4W in last 5)
Guimaraes struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.