Liga 3 · Apr 04, 2026 14:00
Amarante
PWR 35
Varzim
PWR 35
Amarante
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Varzim
PWR 35
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Amarante to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)1-0 (15%)3-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)0-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Amarante
DWWWW
STABLE
Varzim
WLLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Liga 3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Amarantevs
0.55
VarzimGoal Probability
Amarante
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Varzim
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Amarante+1
Gap#3
Varzim
WR 44% 29 pts
WR 39% 28 pts
Amarante
18.0%
| Mar 29 | Amarante v Academi… | 1-1 |
| Mar 22 | Amarante v Guimara… | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Amarante v União S… | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | Amarante v Trofense | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Amarante v CF Os B… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Amarante v Mafra | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Amarante v Varzim | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Amarante v Trofense | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Amarante v Paredes | 0-0 |
| Jan 11 | Amarante v SC Braga | 1-0 |
Varzim
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Varzim v União S… | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Varzim v CF Os B… | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Varzim v Academi… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Varzim v Guimara… | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Varzim v Trofense | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | Varzim v Mafra | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Varzim v Amarante | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Varzim v AD Marc… | 1-3 |
| Jan 17 | Varzim v Sanjoan… | 2-0 |
| Jan 11 | Varzim v Guimara… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Feb 07, 2026 | Varzim | 2-1 | Amarante |
| Nov 09, 2025 | Varzim | 0-0 | Amarante |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Amarante | 0-1 | Varzim |
| Apr 06, 2025 | Amarante | 2-1 | Varzim |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Varzim | 1-2 | Amarante |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Amarante | 0-1 | Varzim |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Varzim | 1-3 | Amarante |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
53%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Amarante in strong form (4W in last 5)
Varzim struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.