Primera Nacional · Apr 05, 2026 20:00
Quilmes
PWR 35
Deportivo Madryn
PWR 35
Quilmes
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Deportivo Madryn
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (34%)1-0 (28%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)3-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
10%
Under 2.5
90%
90%
BTTS
No
No 12%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Quilmes
WLWLD
STABLE
Deportivo Madr…
DDLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Primera Nacional
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Quilmesvs
0.25
Deportivo Madr…Goal Probability
Quilmes
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Deportivo M…
0
78%
1
20%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (32%)1-0 (23%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Quilmes+2
Gap#13
Deportivo M…
WR 50% 7 pts
WR 0% 6 pts
Quilmes
10.0%
| Mar 29 | Quilmes v San Tel… | 0-3 |
| Mar 21 | Quilmes v Almagro | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Quilmes v Patrona… | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Quilmes v Gimnasi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Quilmes v Midland | 0-0 |
| Feb 16 | Quilmes v Atlanta | 1-0 |
| Oct 04 | Quilmes v Tristan… | 0-1 |
| Sep 28 | Quilmes v San Mar… | 1-1 |
| Sep 23 | Quilmes v Club At… | 0-0 |
| Sep 14 | Quilmes v Patrona… | 1-0 |
Deportivo Madr…
6.0%
| Mar 30 | Deporti… v Canuelas | 1-1 |
| Mar 29 | Deporti… v San Mar… | 1-1 |
| Mar 29 | Deporti… v Godoy C… | 0-1 |
| Mar 28 | Deporti… v Estrell… | 1-3 |
| Mar 28 | Deporti… v Fundaci… | 2-2 |
| Mar 23 | Deporti… v JJ Urqu… | 1-1 |
| Mar 22 | Deporti… v CA Estu… | 3-0 |
| Mar 21 | Deporti… v Central… | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | Deporti… v Yupanqui | 0-2 |
| Mar 15 | Deporti… v Berazat… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jul 30, 2025 | Deportivo Mad… | 3-1 | Quilmes |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Quilmes | 2-2 | Deportivo Mad… |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Quilmes | 1-1 | Deportivo Mad… |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Deportivo Mad… | 2-0 | Quilmes |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
68%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.