Primera Nacional · Apr 05, 2026 20:00
Gimnasia M.
PWR 35
Patronato
PWR 35
Gimnasia M.
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Patronato
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Gimnasia M. to win (85% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
85%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (23%)2-0 (20%)0-0 (13%)3-0 (12%)1-1 (6%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
No
No 20%
Over 3.5
2%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Gimnasia M.
LDLLL
STABLE
Patronato
LDLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Primera Nacional
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Gimnasia M.vs
0.27
PatronatoGoal Probability
Gimnasia M.
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Patronato
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (34%)1-0 (23%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Gimnasia M.+14
Gap#15
Patronato
WR 65% 63 pts
WR 0% 5 pts
Gimnasia M.
2.0%
| Mar 29 | Gimnasi… v Central… | 0-1 |
| Mar 28 | Gimnasi… v Chaco F… | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Gimnasi… v Newell’… | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Gimnasi… v Tristan… | 3-0 |
| Mar 18 | Gimnasi… v Estudia… | 1-2 |
| Mar 15 | Gimnasi… v Colegia… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Gimnasi… v Temperl… | 0-0 |
| Mar 12 | Gimnasi… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Gimnasi… v Quilmes | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Gimnasi… v Boca Ju… | 1-1 |
Patronato
4.0%
| Mar 29 | Patrona… v Unión S… | 0-2 |
| Mar 22 | Patrona… v Colegia… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Patrona… v Quilmes | 3-0 |
| Mar 03 | Patrona… v Atlanta | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Patrona… v Gimnasi… | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | Patrona… v San Mar… | 0-0 |
| Oct 12 | Patrona… v Estudia… | 2-1 |
| Oct 04 | Patrona… v Ferro C… | 3-1 |
| Sep 28 | Patrona… v Almagro | 0-0 |
| Sep 20 | Patrona… v San Mig… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Feb 21, 2026 | Patronato | 1-2 | Gimnasia M. |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Gimnasia M. | 2-1 | Patronato |
| Mar 09, 2025 | Patronato | 0-0 | Gimnasia M. |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Patronato | 1-0 | Gimnasia M. |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Gimnasia M. | 0-0 | Patronato |
| Jan 23, 2023 | Patronato | 2-0 | Gimnasia M. |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
91%
Market
50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Gimnasia M. struggling (4L in last 5)
Patronato struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.