Primera Nacional · Apr 04, 2026 22:00
Unión Santa Fe
PWR 40
San Miguel FC
PWR 35
Unión Santa Fe
PWR 40
1-1
predicted
San Miguel FC
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (22%)1-0 (21%)3-0 (15%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
62%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
24Attack0
67Defense100
Goals/G
0.70.0
Conc/G
1.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Unión Santa Fe
WWDLD
STABLE
San Miguel FC
DLDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Primera Nacional
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Unión Santa Fevs
0.20
San Miguel FCGoal Probability
Unión Santa…
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
San Miguel …
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (21%)2-0 (15%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 2.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#25
Unión Santa…-5
Gap#20
San Miguel …
WR 29% 51 pts
WR 31% 63 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Santa Fe | 45 | 13 | 12 | 20 | 31 | 43 | 51 |
| San Miguel FC | 45 | 14 | 21 | 10 | 38 | 34 | 63 |
Unión Santa Fe
12.0%
| Mar 31 | Unión S… v Agropec… | 2-0 |
| Mar 29 | Unión S… v Patrona… | 0-2 |
| Mar 22 | Unión S… v San Tel… | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Unión S… v Defensa… | 2-0 |
| Mar 16 | Unión S… v Boca Ju… | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Unión S… v Acassuso | 1-0 |
| Mar 10 | Unión S… v Indepen… | 4-4 |
| Mar 01 | Unión S… v Institu… | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Unión S… v Ferro C… | 1-1 |
| Feb 26 | Unión S… v Sarmien… | 1-3 |
San Miguel FC
10.0%
| Mar 28 | San Mig… v Colegia… | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | San Mig… v Racing … | 0-2 |
| Mar 14 | San Mig… v San Tel… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | San Mig… v Chaco F… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | San Mig… v Ferro C… | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | San Mig… v Aldosivi | 3-0 |
| Feb 13 | San Mig… v Central… | 1-0 |
| Oct 12 | San Mig… v Gimnasi… | 0-0 |
| Oct 04 | San Mig… v San Mar… | 2-2 |
| Sep 28 | San Mig… v Club At… | 1-0 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
92%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.