Liga Alef · Apr 04, 2026 12:00
Beitar Jerusalem
PWR 44
Maccabi Ashdod
PWR 35
Beitar Jerusalem
PWR 44
1-0
predicted
Maccabi Ashdod
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Beitar Jerusalem to win (81% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
81%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-2 (5%)3-0 (4%)2-0 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
74%
74%
Under 2.5
26%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 79%
Over 3.5
84%
84%
Team Comparison
50Attack0
48Defense100
Goals/G
1.40.0
Conc/G
1.50.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Beitar Jerusal…
WLWLD
STABLE
Maccabi Ashdod
DDLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Liga Alef
Expected Goals (xG)
3.48
Beitar Jerusal…vs
1.67
Maccabi AshdodGoal Probability
Beitar Jeru…
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Maccabi Ash…
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (5%)4-1 (5%)3-2 (5%)4-2 (5%)5-1 (4%)5-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 5.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 6.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
League Position
#3
Beitar Jeru…+5
Gap#8
Maccabi Ash…
WR 33% 139 pts
WR 36% 109 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beitar Jerusa… | 111 | 37 | 28 | 46 | 159 | 166 | 139 |
| Maccabi Ashdod | 77 | 28 | 25 | 24 | 102 | 95 | 109 |
Beitar Jerusal…
10.0%
| Feb 27 | Beitar … v Dimona | 4-1 |
| Feb 26 | Beitar … v Hapoel … | 2-1 |
| Feb 23 | Beitar … v Maccabi… | 2-8 |
| Feb 20 | Beitar … v Beitar … | 1-2 |
| Feb 16 | Beitar … v Maccabi… | 0-0 |
| Feb 13 | Beitar … v Maccabi… | 3-3 |
| Feb 13 | Beitar … v Tzeirey… | 5-2 |
| Feb 09 | Beitar … v Hapoel … | 2-1 |
| Feb 06 | Beitar … v Hapoel … | 2-2 |
| Feb 06 | Beitar … v Hapoel … | 1-5 |
Maccabi Ashdod
10.0%
| Feb 27 | Maccabi… v Hapoel … | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Maccabi… v Beitar … | 3-3 |
| Feb 06 | Maccabi… v Tzeirey… | 0-3 |
| Jan 30 | Maccabi… v Hapoel … | 2-3 |
| Jan 23 | Maccabi… v Kfar Sa… | 1-1 |
| Jan 16 | Maccabi… v Maccabi… | 5-0 |
| Jan 09 | Maccabi… v Shimsho… | 1-1 |
| Jan 06 | Maccabi… v Maccabi… | 1-2 |
| Dec 31 | Maccabi… v Dimona | 2-1 |
| Dec 19 | Maccabi… v Beitar … | 3-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 13, 2026 | Beitar Jerusa… | 3-3 | Maccabi Ashdod |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod | 3-3 | Beitar Jerusa… |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod | 3-1 | Beitar Jerusa… |
| Apr 04, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod | 2-1 | Beitar Jerusa… |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Beitar Jerusa… | 0-1 | Maccabi Ashdod |
| Apr 04, 2024 | Beitar Jerusa… | 1-1 | Maccabi Ashdod |
| Jan 15, 2024 | Maccabi Ashdod | 1-1 | Beitar Jerusa… |
| Feb 18, 2022 | Beitar Jerusa… | 0-1 | Maccabi Ashdod |
| Oct 22, 2021 | Maccabi Ashdod | 3-1 | Beitar Jerusa… |
| Apr 16, 2021 | Maccabi Ashdod | 1-1 | Beitar Jerusa… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.