Liga 1 · Apr 04, 2026 12:00
Persebaya Surabaya
PWR 35
Persita
PWR 35
Persebaya Surabaya
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Persita
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Persebaya Surabaya Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (9%)3-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (6%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
66%
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS
Yes 56%
Over 3.5
57%
57%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Persebaya Sura…
LDWLL
STABLE
Persita
LDWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 31% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.90
Persebaya Sura…vs
0.91
PersitaGoal Probability
Persebaya S…
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Persita
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)2-0 (6%)2-2 (6%)3-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 4.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Persebaya S…-2
Gap#5
Persita
WR 46% 39 pts
WR 33% 41 pts
Persebaya Sura…
6.0%
| Mar 07 | Perseba… v Pusaman… | 5-1 |
| Mar 02 | Perseba… v Persib … | 2-2 |
| Feb 25 | Perseba… v PSM Mak… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Perseba… v Persita | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Perseba… v Bhayang… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Perseba… v Bali Un… | 1-3 |
| Feb 01 | Perseba… v Dewa Un… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Perseba… v PSIM Yo… | 0-3 |
| Jan 10 | Perseba… v Malut U… | 2-1 |
| Jan 03 | Perseba… v Persepa… | 0-1 |
Persita
12.0%
| Mar 29 | Persita v PSIS Se… | 6-1 |
| Mar 11 | Persita v PSIM Yo… | 2-2 |
| Mar 07 | Persita v Persepa… | 4-1 |
| Mar 05 | Persita v Persis … | 0-0 |
| Mar 02 | Persita v PSM Mak… | 2-4 |
| Feb 28 | Persita v Bali Un… | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Persita v Persiku… | 1-4 |
| Feb 26 | Persita v Dewa Un… | 0-1 |
| Feb 23 | Persita v Persiba… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Persita v Persib … | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 21, 2026 | Persita | 3-1 | Persebaya Sur… |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Persebaya Sur… | 4-0 | Persita |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Persita | 0-1 | Persebaya Sur… |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Persebaya Sur… | 1-1 | Persita |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Persita | 0-1 | Persebaya Sur… |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Persita | 1-1 | Persebaya Sur… |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Persebaya Sur… | 1-0 | Persita |
| Jan 18, 2023 | Persita | 0-5 | Persebaya Sur… |
| Aug 01, 2022 | Persebaya Sur… | 2-0 | Persita |
| Mar 06, 2022 | Persita | 1-1 | Persebaya Sur… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Persebaya Surabaya struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.