First League · Apr 04, 2026 15:00
Cherno More Varna
PWR 35
CSKA Sofia
PWR 35
Cherno More Varna
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
CSKA Sofia
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
CSKA Sofia Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (43%)1-0 (28%)2-0 (9%)0-1 (9%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
5%
Under 2.5
95%
95%
BTTS
No
No 9%
Over 3.5
3%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Cherno More Va…
LWWDL
STABLE
CSKA Sofia
WWWLD
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 46% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskCombined DR 77% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (35.7%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Cherno More Va…vs
0.20
CSKA SofiaGoal Probability
Cherno More…
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CSKA Sofia
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (32%)0-1 (20%)1-0 (17%)1-1 (10%)0-2 (6%)2-0 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Cherno More…-1
Gap#4
CSKA Sofia
WR 39% 43 pts
WR 31% 46 pts
Cherno More Va…
10.0%
| Mar 21 | Cherno … v CSKA So… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Cherno … v Montana | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Cherno … v Septemv… | 0-3 |
| Mar 04 | Cherno … v Arda Ka… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Cherno … v Dobrudz… | 2-1 |
| Feb 20 | Cherno … v Botev V… | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Cherno … v Lokomot… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Cherno … v Spartak… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Cherno … v Etar Ve… | 2-0 |
| Jan 28 | Cherno … v Lokomot… | 0-1 |
CSKA Sofia
14.0%
| Mar 22 | CSKA So… v Dobrudz… | 2-0 |
| Mar 21 | CSKA So… v Cherno … | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | CSKA So… v Beroe | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | CSKA So… v Ludogor… | 3-0 |
| Mar 13 | CSKA So… v Lokomot… | 1-1 |
| Mar 09 | CSKA So… v Lokomot… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | CSKA So… v Lokomot… | 2-0 |
| Mar 06 | CSKA So… v Spartak… | 4-0 |
| Mar 05 | CSKA So… v Ludogor… | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | CSKA So… v Botev V… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 21, 2026 | CSKA Sofia | 2-1 | Cherno More V… |
| Dec 06, 2025 | Cherno More V… | 2-0 | CSKA Sofia |
| Oct 25, 2025 | CSKA Sofia | 0-0 | Cherno More V… |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Cherno More V… | 1-3 | CSKA Sofia |
| Aug 09, 2025 | CSKA Sofia | 0-0 | Cherno More V… |
| Apr 22, 2025 | CSKA Sofia | 2-1 | Cherno More V… |
| Apr 09, 2025 | Cherno More V… | 0-0 | CSKA Sofia |
| Mar 15, 2025 | CSKA Sofia | 1-1 | Cherno More V… |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Cherno More V… | 0-0 | CSKA Sofia |
| May 23, 2024 | CSKA Sofia | 0-1 | Cherno More V… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
66%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
CSKA Sofia in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.