First League · Apr 04, 2026 15:00
Botev Plovdiv
PWR 35
Spartak Varna
PWR 35
Botev Plovdiv
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Spartak Varna
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Botev Plovdiv Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (15%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)0-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS
No 43%
Over 3.5
20%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Botev Plovdiv
LDWDW
STABLE
Spartak Varna
DWWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 54% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 77% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Botev Plovdivvs
0.78
Spartak VarnaGoal Probability
Botev Plovd…
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Spartak Var…
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-1 (11%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Botev Plovd…+2
Gap#13
Spartak Var…
WR 31% 30 pts
WR 8% 23 pts
Botev Plovdiv
12.0%
| Mar 14 | Botev P… v Botev V… | 1-3 |
| Mar 08 | Botev P… v CSKA 19… | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | Botev P… v Septemv… | 2-0 |
| Feb 27 | Botev P… v Montana | 0-0 |
| Feb 23 | Botev P… v Ludogor… | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Botev P… v CSKA So… | 3-0 |
| Feb 12 | Botev P… v Lokomot… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Botev P… v Beroe | 0-0 |
| Dec 13 | Botev P… v Spartak… | 0-2 |
| Dec 06 | Botev P… v Lokomot… | 3-2 |
Spartak Varna
14.0%
| Mar 29 | Spartak… v Marek | 0-0 |
| Mar 25 | Spartak… v Belasit… | 2-1 |
| Mar 21 | Spartak… v Etar Ve… | 4-0 |
| Mar 19 | Spartak… v Ludogor… | 1-5 |
| Mar 14 | Spartak… v Hebar 1… | 0-3 |
| Mar 14 | Spartak… v CSKA 19… | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Spartak… v Chernom… | 1-2 |
| Mar 06 | Spartak… v CSKA So… | 4-0 |
| Mar 03 | Spartak… v Montana | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Spartak… v Pirin B… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Dec 13, 2025 | Spartak Varna | 0-2 | Botev Plovdiv |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Spartak Varna | 0-4 | Botev Plovdiv |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Spartak Varna | 3-2 | Botev Plovdiv |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
60%
Market
50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Spartak Varna in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.