National Soccer League · Apr 04, 2026 13:00
Al Merreikh
PWR 35
Al Merreikh
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Rutsiro
PWR 35
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Al Merreikh Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
77%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (19%)1-0 (16%)3-0 (14%)0-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No
No 27%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Al Merreikh
WDWDW
STABLE
Rutsiro
LLDDW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy77%
HOME_STREAKPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 36% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Al Merreikhvs
0.36
RutsiroGoal Probability
Al Merreikh
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Rutsiro
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (24%)0-0 (18%)2-0 (16%)1-1 (9%)0-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 2.5 | 25% | 76% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Al Merreikh+15
Gap#18
Rutsiro
WR 55% 48 pts
WR 23% 20 pts
Al Merreikh
16.0%
| Mar 19 | Al Merr… v Muhanga | 3-0 |
| Mar 16 | Al Merr… v Kiyovu … | 0-0 |
| Mar 09 | Al Merr… v Police | 0-1 |
| Feb 27 | Al Merr… v Gasogi … | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Al Merr… v AS Kiga… | 0-1 |
| Feb 17 | Al Merr… v Al Hila… | 1-2 |
| Feb 13 | Al Merr… v Musanze | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Al Merr… v Marines | 1-1 |
| Jan 21 | Al Merr… v Kiyovu … | 2-2 |
| Jan 18 | Al Merr… v APR | 0-0 |
Rutsiro
8.0%
| Mar 28 | Rutsiro v Al Hila… | 1-2 |
| Mar 22 | Rutsiro v Kiyovu … | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Rutsiro v Etincel… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Rutsiro v Gasogi … | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Rutsiro v Marines | 5-3 |
| Feb 25 | Rutsiro v Police | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Rutsiro v Muhanga | 2-1 |
| Feb 06 | Rutsiro v Gorilla | 2-1 |
| Jan 09 | Rutsiro v AS Kiga… | 0-0 |
| Jan 04 | Rutsiro v Mukura | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Dec 03, 2025 | Rutsiro | 0-1 | Al Merreikh |
Decision Breakdown
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)M85+S60 (75.3%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
92%
Standings
90%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Al Merreikh in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.