National Soccer League · Apr 04, 2026 13:00
Bugesera
PWR 35
Etincelles
PWR 35
Bugesera
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Etincelles
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Bugesera Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (29%)0-0 (22%)2-0 (19%)3-0 (8%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
19%
Under 2.5
81%
81%
BTTS
No
No 13%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Bugesera
LWWWD
STABLE
Etincelles
DDDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 5/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskAway draws 58% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 78% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Bugeseravs
0.20
EtincellesGoal Probability
Bugesera
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Etincelles
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (21%)0-0 (18%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 2.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Bugesera+5
Gap#15
Etincelles
WR 47% 34 pts
WR 8% 22 pts
Bugesera
14.0%
| Mar 25 | Bugesera v Al Hila… | 0-2 |
| Mar 21 | Bugesera v AS Kiga… | 2-0 |
| Mar 14 | Bugesera v Gasogi … | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Bugesera v Kiyovu … | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Bugesera v Amagaju | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Bugesera v Musanze | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Bugesera v Gorilla | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Bugesera v APR | 2-2 |
| Jan 11 | Bugesera v Etincel… | 1-2 |
| Jan 03 | Bugesera v APR | 2-1 |
Etincelles
10.0%
| Mar 22 | Etincel… v Police | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Etincel… v Rutsiro | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Etincel… v Kiyovu … | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Etincel… v AS Kiga… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Etincel… v Gicumbi | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Etincel… v Muhanga | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Etincel… v Musanze | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Etincel… v Mukura | 1-0 |
| Jan 11 | Etincel… v Bugesera | 1-2 |
| Jan 08 | Etincel… v Al Hila… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jan 11, 2026 | Etincelles | 1-2 | Bugesera |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
69%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Bugesera in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.