Super League · Apr 04, 2026 16:00
FC Lugano
PWR 35
FC Thun
PWR 35
FC Lugano
PWR 35
2-3
predicted
FC Thun
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FC Thun Win
Score
2-3
Confidence
37%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
Yes 55%
Over 3.5
27%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Lugano
DLLWL
STABLE
FC Thun
LLLLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskElevated draw risk (23.9%) - consider AH
Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
FC Luganovs
0.97
FC ThunGoal Probability
FC Lugano
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
FC Thun
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)0-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
FC Lugano-2
Gap#1
FC Thun
WR 67% 49 pts
WR 86% 71 pts
FC Lugano
6.0%
| Mar 22 | FC Luga… v BSC You… | 1-1 |
| Mar 17 | FC Luga… v FC St. … | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | FC Luga… v FC Luze… | 1-3 |
| Mar 04 | FC Luga… v FC Sion | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | FC Luga… v Grassho… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | FC Luga… v Lausanne | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | FC Luga… v FC Base… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | FC Luga… v Servett… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | FC Luga… v FC Wint… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | FC Luga… v Grassho… | 1-1 |
FC Thun
4.0%
| Mar 21 | FC Thun v FC Zuri… | 2-1 |
| Mar 21 | FC Thun v FC Aarau | 2-0 |
| Mar 18 | FC Thun v Servett… | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | FC Thun v Young B… | 4-0 |
| Mar 14 | FC Thun v Grassho… | 5-1 |
| Mar 08 | FC Thun v BSC You… | 1-2 |
| Mar 05 | FC Thun v FC St. … | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | FC Thun v FC Luze… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | FC Thun v FC Wint… | 0-3 |
| Feb 15 | FC Thun v FC Sion | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 22, 2025 | FC Thun | 0-1 | FC Lugano |
| Jul 27, 2025 | FC Lugano | 1-2 | FC Thun |
| Feb 10, 2022 | FC Thun | 3-4 | FC Lugano |
| Jul 15, 2020 | FC Lugano | 1-1 | FC Thun |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Lugano struggling (3L in last 5)
FC Thun struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.