Premiership · Apr 04, 2026 14:00
St. Mirren
PWR 35
Aberdeen
PWR 35
St. Mirren
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Aberdeen
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
St. Mirren Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (25%)2-0 (22%)0-0 (15%)3-0 (12%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
71%
BTTS
No
No 15%
Over 3.5
35%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
St. Mirren
WLWLD
STABLE
Aberdeen
LDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
St. Mirrenvs
0.20
AberdeenGoal Probability
St. Mirren
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Aberdeen
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
St. Mirren-1
Gap#9
Aberdeen
WR 29% 24 pts
WR 27% 30 pts
St. Mirren
10.0%
| Mar 21 | St. Mir… v Falkirk | 1-2 |
| Mar 15 | St. Mir… v Rangers… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | St. Mir… v Partick | 2-1 |
| Mar 03 | St. Mir… v Dundee … | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | St. Mir… v Livings… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | St. Mir… v Motherw… | 0-5 |
| Feb 14 | St. Mir… v Hiberni… | 2-0 |
| Feb 11 | St. Mir… v Kilmarn… | 4-3 |
| Feb 06 | St. Mir… v Airdrie… | 1-2 |
| Feb 03 | St. Mir… v Heart o… | 1-0 |
Aberdeen
2.0%
| Mar 21 | Aberdeen v Rangers… | 4-1 |
| Mar 14 | Aberdeen v Falkirk | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Aberdeen v Dunferm… | 3-0 |
| Mar 04 | Aberdeen v Celtic | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Aberdeen v Heart o… | 1-0 |
| Feb 24 | Aberdeen v Dundee … | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Aberdeen v Dundee … | 2-3 |
| Feb 18 | Aberdeen v Motherw… | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | Aberdeen v Motherw… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Aberdeen v Kilmarn… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 03, 2025 | Aberdeen | 3-3 | St. Mirren |
| Oct 18, 2025 | St. Mirren | 0-1 | Aberdeen |
| May 03, 2025 | St. Mirren | 1-0 | Aberdeen |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Aberdeen | 0-3 | St. Mirren |
| Nov 23, 2024 | St. Mirren | 2-1 | Aberdeen |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Aberdeen | 3-1 | St. Mirren |
| Mar 02, 2024 | St. Mirren | 2-1 | Aberdeen |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Aberdeen | 0-3 | St. Mirren |
| Aug 27, 2023 | St. Mirren | 2-2 | Aberdeen |
| May 24, 2023 | Aberdeen | 3-0 | St. Mirren |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Aberdeen struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.