FAW Championship · Apr 04, 2026 13:30
Aberystwyth Town
PWR 49
Aberystwyth Town
PWR 49
1-1
predicted
Llantwit Major
PWR 47
PWR 47
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (53% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
53%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (8%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-3 (6%)2-3 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
72%
72%
Under 2.5
28%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 74%
Over 3.5
63%
63%
Team Comparison
41Attack51
57Defense52
Goals/G
1.21.5
Conc/G
1.21.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Aberystwyth To…
LLWLL
DOWN
Llantwit Major
LLLWW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Aberystwyth To…vs
2.10
Llantwit MajorGoal Probability
Aberystwyth…
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4
8%
Llantwit Ma…
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (7%)2-2 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-1 (6%)2-3 (6%)1-3 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 4.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 5.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
League Position
#28
Aberystwyth…-20
Gap#8
Llantwit Ma…
WR 48% 42 pts
WR 38% 111 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberystwyth T… | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 33 | 42 |
| Llantwit Major | 79 | 30 | 21 | 28 | 116 | 109 | 111 |
Aberystwyth To…
4.0%
| Mar 28 | Aberyst… v Afan Li… | 0-1 |
| Mar 21 | Aberyst… v Cambria… | 2-0 |
| Mar 14 | Aberyst… v Trethom… | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Aberyst… v Trefelin | 4-0 |
| Mar 01 | Aberyst… v Caerau … | 0-4 |
| Feb 24 | Aberyst… v Ammanfo… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Aberyst… v Treowen… | 2-1 |
| Feb 07 | Aberyst… v Baglan … | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Aberyst… v Newport… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Aberyst… v Cardiff… | 3-2 |
Llantwit Major
8.0%
| Mar 28 | Llantwi… v Caerau … | 1-4 |
| Mar 20 | Llantwi… v Afan Li… | 4-1 |
| Mar 14 | Llantwi… v Ammanfo… | 2-3 |
| Mar 10 | Llantwi… v Cwmbran… | 1-3 |
| Mar 06 | Llantwi… v Pontypr… | 0-4 |
| Mar 03 | Llantwi… v Treowen… | 3-2 |
| Feb 28 | Llantwi… v Trefelin | 0-1 |
| Feb 24 | Llantwi… v Ynyshir… | 2-3 |
| Feb 20 | Llantwi… v Newport… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Llantwi… v Cwmbran… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jul 26, 2025 | Llantwit Major | 1-2 | Aberystwyth T… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Aberystwyth Town struggling (4L in last 5)
Llantwit Major struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.