FAW Championship · Apr 04, 2026 13:30
Trethomas Bluebirds
PWR 44
PWR 44
2-1
predicted
Cardiff Draconians
PWR 54
PWR 54
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Trethomas Bluebirds to win (82% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
82%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (8%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-3 (6%)2-3 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
72%
72%
Under 2.5
28%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 74%
Over 3.5
73%
73%
Team Comparison
54Attack60
42Defense55
Goals/G
1.51.7
Conc/G
1.71.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Trethomas Blue…
DWLWL
STABLE
Cardiff Dracon…
LWWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Trethomas Blue…vs
2.10
Cardiff Dracon…Goal Probability
Trethomas B…
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4
8%
Cardiff Dra…
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
CORRECT SCORES
1-3 (6%)1-2 (6%)2-3 (6%)2-2 (6%)1-4 (5%)2-4 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 5.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 6.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
League Position
#20
Trethomas B…+9
Gap#29
Cardiff Dra…
WR 35% 65 pts
WR 48% 41 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trethomas Blu… | 48 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 74 | 80 | 65 |
| Cardiff Draco… | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 35 | 41 |
Trethomas Blue…
10.0%
| Mar 28 | Trethom… v Ynyshir… | 2-2 |
| Mar 20 | Trethom… v Pontypr… | 4-2 |
| Mar 14 | Trethom… v Aberyst… | 3-0 |
| Mar 09 | Trethom… v Newport… | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Trethom… v Caernar… | 4-5 |
| Mar 01 | Trethom… v Cambria… | 4-2 |
| Feb 20 | Trethom… v Afan Li… | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Trethom… v Ammanfo… | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | Trethom… v Cwmbran… | 2-0 |
| Jan 23 | Trethom… v Caerau … | 1-5 |
Cardiff Dracon…
8.0%
| Mar 28 | Cardiff… v Newport… | 0-1 |
| Mar 24 | Cardiff… v Ynyshir… | 4-1 |
| Mar 21 | Cardiff… v Trefelin | 0-4 |
| Mar 14 | Cardiff… v Caernar… | 2-3 |
| Mar 06 | Cardiff… v Ammanfo… | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Cardiff… v Trefelin | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Cardiff… v Treowen… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Cardiff… v Baglan … | 3-1 |
| Jan 24 | Cardiff… v Aberyst… | 3-2 |
| Jan 16 | Cardiff… v Cwmbran… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 25, 2025 | Cardiff Draco… | 3-0 | Trethomas Blu… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Cardiff Draconians struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.