FAW Championship · Apr 03, 2026 13:30

Afan Lido
PWR 37

Cwmbran Celtic
PWR 27

Afan Lido
PWR 37
2-1
predicted

Cwmbran Celtic
PWR 27
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 66% home + 20% draw = 86% combined
92%
accuracy
1.22x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Afan Lido to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (30%)0-0 (28%)2-0 (16%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
86%
Home/Draw
1.22x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.1x
Over 2.5
13%
Under 2.5
87%
87%
BTTS
No
No 12%
Over 3.5
40%
Team Comparison
47Attack42
32Defense19
Goals/G
1.41.2
Conc/G
2.02.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Afan Lido
WWWLL
UP
Cwmbran Celtic
LLDDL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Afan Lidovs
0.20
Cwmbran CelticGoal Probability
Afan Lido
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Cwmbran Cel…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (13%)3-0 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Afan Lido+12
Gap#24
Cwmbran Cel…
WR 31% 98 pts
WR 19% 55 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afan Lido | 87 | 27 | 17 | 43 | 118 | 170 | 98 |
| Cwmbran Celtic | 74 | 14 | 13 | 47 | 89 | 171 | 55 |
Afan Lido
12.0%
| Mar 28 | Afan Li… v Aberyst… | 0-1 |
| Mar 23 | Afan Li… v Treowen… | 0-1 |
| Mar 20 | Afan Li… v Llantwi… | 4-1 |
| Mar 13 | Afan Li… v Cambria… | 0-4 |
| Mar 07 | Afan Li… v Caerau … | 4-1 |
| Mar 01 | Afan Li… v Ammanfo… | 3-1 |
| Feb 20 | Afan Li… v Trethom… | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Afan Li… v Newport… | 0-1 |
| Jan 30 | Afan Li… v Pontypr… | 2-0 |
| Jan 23 | Afan Li… v Caernar… | 0-1 |
Cwmbran Celtic
4.0%
| Mar 30 | Cwmbran… v Trefelin | 1-8 |
| Mar 27 | Cwmbran… v Cambria… | 1-2 |
| Mar 24 | Cwmbran… v Baglan … | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Cwmbran… v Caerau … | 0-0 |
| Mar 17 | Cwmbran… v Pontypr… | 2-5 |
| Mar 10 | Cwmbran… v Llantwi… | 1-3 |
| Mar 06 | Cwmbran… v Ynyshir… | 1-3 |
| Feb 14 | Cwmbran… v Llantwi… | 3-1 |
| Jan 30 | Cwmbran… v Trethom… | 2-0 |
| Jan 16 | Cwmbran… v Cardiff… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 15, 2025 | Cwmbran Celtic | 1-4 | Afan Lido |
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
50%
Market
68%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Afan Lido in strong form (3W in last 5)
Cwmbran Celtic struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.