Esiliiga A · Apr 03, 2026 09:30
Maardu
PWR 35
Tallinna Kalev
PWR 35
Maardu
PWR 35
VS
Tallinna Kalev
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Maardu Win
Score
?
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (21%)3-0 (17%)1-0 (17%)0-0 (7%)2-1 (4%)3-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
74%
74%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Maardu
LLLWD
DOWN
Tallinna Kalev
LWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.48
Maarduvs
0.20
Tallinna KalevGoal Probability
Maardu
0
8%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Tallinna Ka…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)4-0 (5%)5-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 88% | 13% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 74% | 27% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 5.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 6.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Maardu-4
Gap#6
Tallinna Ka…
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Maardu
6.0%
| Mar 21 | Maardu v Tartu W… | 5-1 |
| Mar 12 | Maardu v Elva | 0-3 |
| Mar 08 | Maardu v Nõmme U… | 4-1 |
| Feb 21 | Maardu v Tallinn… | 3-0 |
| Feb 01 | Maardu v Legion | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Maardu v Kuressa… | 1-2 |
| Oct 30 | Maardu v Nõmme U… | 3-3 |
| Oct 26 | Maardu v Narva U… | 1-2 |
| Oct 19 | Maardu v Johvi P… | 2-0 |
| Oct 11 | Maardu v JK Taba… | 2-2 |
Tallinna Kalev
4.0%
| Mar 19 | Tallinn… v Viimsi | 2-0 |
| Mar 15 | Tallinn… v FC Tall… | 5-1 |
| Mar 11 | Tallinn… v Paide | 6-0 |
| Mar 05 | Tallinn… v Tartu W… | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | Tallinn… v Kuressa… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Tallinn… v Vaprus | 0-6 |
| Feb 01 | Tallinn… v Viimsi | 0-0 |
| Nov 08 | Tallinn… v Kuressa… | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Tallinn… v Laagri | 4-1 |
| Oct 30 | Tallinn… v Elva | 1-2 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Maardu struggling (3L in last 5)
Tallinna Kalev struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.