Back Stats
Esiliiga A · Apr 03, 2026 16:00
Nõmme United II
PWR 35
4-8
predicted

Tartu Welco
PWR 35
47% 25% 28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Nõmme United II Win
Score
4-8
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-2 (6%)2-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)3-1 (6%)1-2 (4%)2-3 (4%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5 78%
78%
Under 2.5
22%
BTTS Yes
Yes 82%
Over 3.5 84%
84%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Nõmme United II DWWWD
STABLE
Tartu Welco WWLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.89
Nõmme United II
vs
2.04
Tartu Welco
Goal Probability
Nõmme Unite…
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Tartu Welco
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
CORRECT SCORES
3-2 (6%)4-2 (5%)3-1 (5%)2-2 (5%)4-1 (5%)3-3 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 100% 0% OVER
1.5 98% 2% OVER
2.5 94% 7% OVER
3.5 84% 16% OVER
4.5 71% 29% OVER
5.5 55% 46% -
6.5 38% 62% -
League Position
#3
Nõmme Unite…
-2
Gap
#1
Tartu Welco
WR 50% 7 pts WR 100% 9 pts
Nõmme United II 16.0%
Mar 22 Nõmme U… v FC Tall… 2-2
Mar 16 Nõmme U… v FCI Lev… 0-1
Mar 08 Nõmme U… v Maardu 4-1
Feb 14 Nõmme U… v Parnu J… 3-4
Jan 17 Nõmme U… v FCI Lev… 2-2
Nov 09 Nõmme U… v JK Taba… 0-1
Oct 30 Nõmme U… v Maardu 3-3
Oct 27 Nõmme U… v Kuressa… 1-4
Oct 22 Nõmme U… v Johvi P… 3-1
Oct 18 Nõmme U… v Tartu K… 0-4
Tartu Welco 14.0%
Mar 21 Tartu W… v Maardu 5-1
Mar 14 Tartu W… v Flora II 1-6
Mar 10 Tartu W… v Vaprus 2-1
Mar 05 Tartu W… v Tallinn… 3-0
Nov 09 Tartu W… v Flora II 1-1
Nov 03 Tartu W… v Luunja 2-2
Oct 27 Tartu W… v Elva 3-2
Oct 23 Tartu W… v Nõmme K… 5-2
Oct 19 Tartu W… v Tallinn… 1-3
Oct 03 Tartu W… v Viimsi 1-4
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Nõmme United II in strong form (3W in last 5)
Tartu Welco in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.