FKF Premier League · Apr 06, 2026 11:00
Police
PWR 35
Tusker
PWR 35
Police
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Tusker
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (17%)3-0 (11%)0-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Police
WLWWD
STABLE
Tusker
LWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: FKF Premier League
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Policevs
0.45
TuskerGoal Probability
Police
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Tusker
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (22%)0-0 (17%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 2.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Police+4
Gap#9
Tusker
WR 31% 40 pts
WR 54% 37 pts
Police
14.0%
| Mar 21 | Police v KCB | 2-1 |
| Mar 13 | Police v Posta R… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Police v Bandari | 2-0 |
| Feb 26 | Police v Sofapaka | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | Police v APS Bom… | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Police v Ulinzi … | 1-1 |
| Feb 02 | Police v Bidco U… | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | Police v Bandari | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Police v Mara Su… | 0-1 |
| Jan 19 | Police v Nairobi… | 1-1 |
Tusker
12.0%
| Mar 22 | Tusker v AFC Leo… | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Tusker v Homeboyz | 2-0 |
| Mar 02 | Tusker v Karioba… | 1-2 |
| Feb 25 | Tusker v Murang'… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Tusker v Shabana | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Tusker v Mathare… | 3-1 |
| Jan 31 | Tusker v Posta R… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Tusker v KCB | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Tusker v Bandari | 1-2 |
| Jan 11 | Tusker v AFC Leo… | 0-4 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Nov 16, 2025 | Tusker | 1-2 | Police |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Tusker | 0-0 | Police |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Police | 1-1 | Tusker |
| May 18, 2024 | Police | 0-1 | Tusker |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Tusker | 1-0 | Police |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Tusker | 1-0 | Police |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Police | 3-0 | Tusker |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Police | 2-2 | Tusker |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
49%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Police in strong form (3W in last 5)
Tusker in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.