Liga Alef · Apr 03, 2026 12:00
Ironi Baka El Garbiya
PWR 35
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
PWR 35
Ironi Baka El Garbiya
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Ironi Baka El Garbiya to win (80% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
80%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
2-2 (7%)1-2 (7%)2-3 (6%)2-1 (6%)1-3 (6%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
78%
78%
Under 2.5
22%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 80%
Over 3.5
43%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ironi Baka El …
DLLWL
STABLE
Hapoel Umm al-…
DLLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Liga Alef
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Ironi Baka El …vs
2.50
Hapoel Umm al-…Goal Probability
Ironi Baka …
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Hapoel Umm …
0
8%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% | - |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Ironi Baka …+7
Gap#16
Hapoel Umm …
WR 80% 31 pts
WR 27% 11 pts
Ironi Baka El …
6.0%
| Feb 27 | Ironi B… v Ironi N… | 0-0 |
| Feb 20 | Ironi B… v Maccabi… | 0-3 |
| Feb 13 | Ironi B… v Tzeirei… | 1-0 |
| Feb 06 | Ironi B… v Maccabi… | 4-1 |
| Jan 30 | Ironi B… v Maccabi… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Ironi B… v Maccabi… | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | Ironi B… v Hapoel … | 2-1 |
| Jan 09 | Ironi B… v Araba | 5-4 |
| Jan 06 | Ironi B… v Tira | 0-1 |
| Jan 02 | Ironi B… v Hapoel … | 3-1 |
Hapoel Umm al-…
10.0%
| Feb 26 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 0-2 |
| Feb 12 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 2-3 |
| Feb 05 | Hapoel … v Hapoel … | 1-0 |
| Jan 30 | Hapoel … v Tzeirey… | 2-4 |
| Jan 23 | Hapoel … v Ironi N… | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 3-2 |
| Jan 13 | Hapoel … v Tzeirei… | 0-0 |
| Jan 06 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 0-2 |
| Jan 02 | Hapoel … v Maccabi… | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Dec 20, 2025 | Hapoel Umm al… | 2-2 | Ironi Baka El… |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
46%
Standings
74%
Market
50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ironi Baka El Garbiya struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.