Liga 1 · Apr 03, 2026 08:30
Arema FC
PWR 35
Arema FC
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Malut United
PWR 35
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-0 (4%)1-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.73x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.55x
Over 2.5
66%
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS
Yes 56%
Over 3.5
73%
73%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Arema FC
LLLDW
DOWN
Malut United
DWLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.71
Arema FCvs
0.85
Malut UnitedGoal Probability
Arema FC
0
2%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Malut United
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (7%)2-3 (6%)1-2 (6%)3-2 (5%)2-1 (5%)1-3 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 5.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 6.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Arema FC-7
Gap#4
Malut United
WR 42% 31 pts
WR 50% 45 pts
Arema FC
6.0%
| Mar 10 | Arema FC v Bhayang… | 2-1 |
| Mar 06 | Arema FC v Bali Un… | 3-4 |
| Feb 26 | Arema FC v Pusaman… | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Arema FC v Persepa… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Arema FC v Semen P… | 3-0 |
| Feb 08 | Arema FC v Persija… | 0-2 |
| Feb 02 | Arema FC v Persita | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Arema FC v Dewa Un… | 2-0 |
| Jan 11 | Arema FC v Persik … | 2-1 |
| Jan 04 | Arema FC v Bali Un… | 1-0 |
Malut United
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Malut U… v PSM Mak… | 3-3 |
| Mar 03 | Malut U… v Persepa… | 1-2 |
| Feb 24 | Malut U… v Persija… | 2-3 |
| Feb 20 | Malut U… v Semen P… | 2-2 |
| Feb 13 | Malut U… v Persita | 4-0 |
| Feb 06 | Malut U… v Persib … | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Malut U… v Bhayang… | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | Malut U… v Persik … | 4-0 |
| Jan 10 | Malut U… v Perseba… | 2-1 |
| Jan 04 | Malut U… v PSBS Bi… | 6-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 29, 2025 | Malut United | 1-1 | Arema FC |
| Mar 04, 2025 | Malut United | 2-1 | Arema FC |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Arema FC | 3-1 | Malut United |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
36%
Market
37%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Arema FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.